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2025年12月温度升高(ºC)

1.05–1.09ºC 100.0%

低于1.00ºC <1%

1.00–1.04ºC <1%

1.10–1.14ºC <1%

Polymarket

$719,738 交易量

This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for December 2025 when it is released.

An anomaly within a named bracket for December 2025 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for December 2025 is later revised.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Dec" in the row "2025" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).

If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for December 2025 is provided by NASA by February 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
交易量
$719,738
结束日期
Jan 10, 2026
创建时间
Dec 10, 2025, 6:19 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for December 2025 when it is released. An anomaly within a named bracket for December 2025 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for December 2025 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Dec" in the row "2025" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for December 2025 is provided by NASA by February 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

已提议结果: 否

无争议

最终结果: 否

警惕外部链接哦。

Market icon

2025年12月温度升高(ºC)

1.05–1.09ºC 100.0%

低于1.00ºC <1%

1.00–1.04ºC <1%

1.10–1.14ºC <1%

Polymarket

$719,738 交易量

低于1.00ºC

$147,163 交易量

1.00–1.04ºC

$141,511 交易量

1.05–1.09ºC

$142,654 交易量

1.10–1.14ºC

$80,114 交易量

1.15–1.19ºC

$74,315 交易量

>1.19ºC

$133,981 交易量

警惕外部链接哦。