Manfred Reyes Villa's near-certain trader consensus at 100% stems from his status as incumbent Cochabamba mayor since 2021, bolstered by consistent polling dominance—recent surveys show him above 60% support amid fragmented opposition from MAS-linked candidates like Carlos Zavaleta and independents. His administration's focus on infrastructure and security resonates in Bolivia's Valle Alto region, driving skin-in-the-game bets toward him for the next municipal cycle around 2026. Key catalysts include low challenger viability and Reyes Villa's cross-party alliances. Realistic challenges could arise from a unified MAS surge, personal scandals, or economic downturns shifting voter sentiment in this politically volatile department.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于曼弗雷德·雷耶斯·比利亚 100.0%
罗纳德·安东尼奥·温苏埃塔 <1%
罗西奥·亚历杭德拉·莫利纳 <1%
路易斯·罗伯托·佩罗贡 <1%
$0.00 交易量
$0.00 交易量

罗纳德·安东尼奥·温苏埃塔
否

罗西奥·亚历杭德拉·莫利纳
否

路易斯·罗伯托·佩罗贡
否

埃德加·哈维尔·罗德里格斯
否

克里斯蒂安·塔斯塔卡
否

拉蒙·达萨
否

弗朗西斯科·哈维尔·贝洛特
否

曼弗雷德·雷耶斯·比利亚
是

卡洛斯·萨瓦莱塔
否

何塞·卡洛斯·桑切斯·韦拉萨因
否
曼弗雷德·雷耶斯·比利亚 100.0%
罗纳德·安东尼奥·温苏埃塔 <1%
罗西奥·亚历杭德拉·莫利纳 <1%
路易斯·罗伯托·佩罗贡 <1%
$0.00 交易量
$0.00 交易量

罗纳德·安东尼奥·温苏埃塔
否

罗西奥·亚历杭德拉·莫利纳
否

路易斯·罗伯托·佩罗贡
否

埃德加·哈维尔·罗德里格斯
否

克里斯蒂安·塔斯塔卡
否

拉蒙·达萨
否

弗朗西斯科·哈维尔·贝洛特
否

曼弗雷德·雷耶斯·比利亚
是

卡洛斯·萨瓦莱塔
否

何塞·卡洛斯·桑切斯·韦拉萨因
否
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
市场开放时间: Jan 20, 2026, 8:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Manfred Reyes Villa's near-certain trader consensus at 100% stems from his status as incumbent Cochabamba mayor since 2021, bolstered by consistent polling dominance—recent surveys show him above 60% support amid fragmented opposition from MAS-linked candidates like Carlos Zavaleta and independents. His administration's focus on infrastructure and security resonates in Bolivia's Valle Alto region, driving skin-in-the-game bets toward him for the next municipal cycle around 2026. Key catalysts include low challenger viability and Reyes Villa's cross-party alliances. Realistic challenges could arise from a unified MAS surge, personal scandals, or economic downturns shifting voter sentiment in this politically volatile department.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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