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科恰班巴市长选举获胜者(玻利维亚)

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科恰班巴市长选举获胜者(玻利维亚)

曼弗雷德·雷耶斯·比利亚 100.0%

罗纳德·安东尼奥·温苏埃塔 <1%

罗西奥·亚历杭德拉·莫利纳 <1%

路易斯·罗伯托·佩罗贡 <1%

Polymarket

$0.00 交易量

曼弗雷德·雷耶斯·比利亚 100.0%

罗纳德·安东尼奥·温苏埃塔 <1%

罗西奥·亚历杭德拉·莫利纳 <1%

路易斯·罗伯托·佩罗贡 <1%

Polymarket

$0.00 交易量

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罗纳德·安东尼奥·温苏埃塔

$0 交易量

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罗西奥·亚历杭德拉·莫利纳

$0 交易量

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路易斯·罗伯托·佩罗贡

$0 交易量

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埃德加·哈维尔·罗德里格斯

$0 交易量

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克里斯蒂安·塔斯塔卡

$0 交易量

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拉蒙·达萨

$0 交易量

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弗朗西斯科·哈维尔·贝洛特

$0 交易量

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曼弗雷德·雷耶斯·比利亚

$0 交易量

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卡洛斯·萨瓦莱塔

$0 交易量

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何塞·卡洛斯·桑切斯·韦拉萨因

$0 交易量

The Cochabamba mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).Manfred Reyes Villa's near-certain trader consensus at 100% stems from his status as incumbent Cochabamba mayor since 2021, bolstered by consistent polling dominance—recent surveys show him above 60% support amid fragmented opposition from MAS-linked candidates like Carlos Zavaleta and independents. His administration's focus on infrastructure and security resonates in Bolivia's Valle Alto region, driving skin-in-the-game bets toward him for the next municipal cycle around 2026. Key catalysts include low challenger viability and Reyes Villa's cross-party alliances. Realistic challenges could arise from a unified MAS surge, personal scandals, or economic downturns shifting voter sentiment in this politically volatile department.

Manfred Reyes Villa's near-certain trader consensus at 100% stems from his status as incumbent Cochabamba mayor since 2021, bolstered by consistent polling dominance—recent surveys show him above 60% support amid fragmented opposition from MAS-linked candidates like Carlos Zavaleta and independents. His administration's focus on infrastructure and security resonates in Bolivia's Valle Alto region, driving skin-in-the-game bets toward him for the next municipal cycle around 2026. Key catalysts include low challenger viability and Reyes Villa's cross-party alliances. Realistic challenges could arise from a unified MAS surge, personal scandals, or economic downturns shifting voter sentiment in this politically volatile department.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
The Cochabamba mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).Manfred Reyes Villa's near-certain trader consensus at 100% stems from his status as incumbent Cochabamba mayor since 2021, bolstered by consistent polling dominance—recent surveys show him above 60% support amid fragmented opposition from MAS-linked candidates like Carlos Zavaleta and independents. His administration's focus on infrastructure and security resonates in Bolivia's Valle Alto region, driving skin-in-the-game bets toward him for the next municipal cycle around 2026. Key catalysts include low challenger viability and Reyes Villa's cross-party alliances. Realistic challenges could arise from a unified MAS surge, personal scandals, or economic downturns shifting voter sentiment in this politically volatile department.

Manfred Reyes Villa's near-certain trader consensus at 100% stems from his status as incumbent Cochabamba mayor since 2021, bolstered by consistent polling dominance—recent surveys show him above 60% support amid fragmented opposition from MAS-linked candidates like Carlos Zavaleta and independents. His administration's focus on infrastructure and security resonates in Bolivia's Valle Alto region, driving skin-in-the-game bets toward him for the next municipal cycle around 2026. Key catalysts include low challenger viability and Reyes Villa's cross-party alliances. Realistic challenges could arise from a unified MAS surge, personal scandals, or economic downturns shifting voter sentiment in this politically volatile department.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

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常见问题

"科恰班巴市长选举获胜者(玻利维亚)"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 10 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"曼弗雷德·雷耶斯·比利亚",概率为 100%,其次是"罗纳德·安东尼奥·温苏埃塔",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"科恰班巴市长选举获胜者(玻利维亚)"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Jan 20, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"科恰班巴市长选举获胜者(玻利维亚)"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 10 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"科恰班巴市长选举获胜者(玻利维亚)"的当前领先者是"曼弗雷德·雷耶斯·比利亚",概率为 100%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"罗纳德·安东尼奥·温苏埃塔",概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"科恰班巴市长选举获胜者(玻利维亚)"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。