April 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC) (Lower Ranges)
>1.17 100.0%
<1.08 <1%
1.08-1.12 <1%
1.13-1.17 <1%
$70,372 交易量
$70,372 交易量
Apr 30, 2025
<1.08
$6,639 交易量
No
1.08-1.12
$12,351 交易量
No
1.13-1.17
$21,519 交易量
No
>1.17
$29,863 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for April 2025 when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An anomaly of a named bracket for April 2025 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for April 2025 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Apr" in the row "2025" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for April 2025 is provided by NASA by August 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".This market will resolve to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for April 2025 when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An anomaly of a named bracket for April 2025 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for April 2025 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Apr" in the row "2025" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for April 2025 is provided by NASA by August 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".
An anomaly of a named bracket for April 2025 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for April 2025 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Apr" in the row "2025" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for April 2025 is provided by NASA by August 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".
创建时间: Apr 22, 2025, 1:24 PM ET
交易量
$70,372结束日期
Apr 30, 2025创建时间
Apr 22, 2025, 1:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
April 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC) (Lower Ranges)
>1.17 100.0%
<1.08 <1%
1.08-1.12 <1%
1.13-1.17 <1%
$70,372 交易量
$70,372 交易量
Apr 30, 2025
<1.08
$6,639 交易量
No
1.08-1.12
$12,351 交易量
No
1.13-1.17
$21,519 交易量
No
>1.17
$29,863 交易量
Yes
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
Frequently Asked Questions
"April 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC) (Lower Ranges)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is ">1.17" at 100%, followed by "<1.08" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.
As of today, "April 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC) (Lower Ranges)" has generated $70.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 22, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.
To trade on "April 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC) (Lower Ranges)," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.
The current frontrunner for "April 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC) (Lower Ranges)" is ">1.17" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<1.08" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.
The resolution rules for "April 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC) (Lower Ranges)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
Frequently Asked Questions