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科技·Claude 5

人类克劳德在6月30日之前在人类的最后一次考试中得分？

Market icon
科技·Claude 5

人类克劳德在6月30日之前在人类的最后一次考试中得分？

$187,516 交易量

Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$187,516 交易量

Polymarket

35%+

$66,561 交易量

94%

45%以上

$76,176 交易量

45%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Anthropic Claude model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6, released February 5, 2026, has propelled trader sentiment by topping the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at 53% accuracy using advanced agentic setups—including web tools, code execution, and up to 3 million tokens of reasoning compute—outpacing rivals like OpenAI's GPT-5 variants and Google's Gemini models. This frontier benchmark of 2,500 expert-level questions tests multidisciplinary AI reasoning at human-expert frontiers, where prior Claude versions scored under 15% in standard evaluations. With three months until resolution, anticipation builds for Claude 5's potential Q2 launch, which could push scores toward 60%+, though decontamination protocols and benchmark updates introduce uncertainty in final leaderboard standings.

Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6, released February 5, 2026, has propelled trader sentiment by topping the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at 53% accuracy using advanced agentic setups—including web tools, code execution, and up to 3 million tokens of reasoning compute—outpacing rivals like OpenAI's GPT-5 variants and Google's Gemini models. This frontier benchmark of 2,500 expert-level questions tests multidisciplinary AI reasoning at human-expert frontiers, where prior Claude versions scored under 15% in standard evaluations. With three months until resolution, anticipation builds for Claude 5's potential Q2 launch, which could push scores toward 60%+, though decontamination protocols and benchmark updates introduce uncertainty in final leaderboard standings.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Anthropic Claude model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6, released February 5, 2026, has propelled trader sentiment by topping the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at 53% accuracy using advanced agentic setups—including web tools, code execution, and up to 3 million tokens of reasoning compute—outpacing rivals like OpenAI's GPT-5 variants and Google's Gemini models. This frontier benchmark of 2,500 expert-level questions tests multidisciplinary AI reasoning at human-expert frontiers, where prior Claude versions scored under 15% in standard evaluations. With three months until resolution, anticipation builds for Claude 5's potential Q2 launch, which could push scores toward 60%+, though decontamination protocols and benchmark updates introduce uncertainty in final leaderboard standings.

Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6, released February 5, 2026, has propelled trader sentiment by topping the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at 53% accuracy using advanced agentic setups—including web tools, code execution, and up to 3 million tokens of reasoning compute—outpacing rivals like OpenAI's GPT-5 variants and Google's Gemini models. This frontier benchmark of 2,500 expert-level questions tests multidisciplinary AI reasoning at human-expert frontiers, where prior Claude versions scored under 15% in standard evaluations. With three months until resolution, anticipation builds for Claude 5's potential Q2 launch, which could push scores toward 60%+, though decontamination protocols and benchmark updates introduce uncertainty in final leaderboard standings.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"人类克劳德在6月30日之前在人类的最后一次考试中得分？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 3 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"30%+"，概率为 100%，其次是"35%+"，概率为 94%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"人类克劳德在6月30日之前在人类的最后一次考试中得分？"已产生 $187.5K 的总交易量（自Jan 30, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"人类克劳德在6月30日之前在人类的最后一次考试中得分？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 3 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"人类克劳德在6月30日之前在人类的最后一次考试中得分？"的当前领先者是"30%+"，概率为 100%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"35%+"，概率为 94%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"人类克劳德在6月30日之前在人类的最后一次考试中得分？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。