Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

52%

Democratic Party

$1M 交易量

$339K Liq.

6

Ends 7 個月內

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Which party will win the House in 2026?

87%

Democratic Party

$4M 交易量

$491K Liq.

Ends 7 個月內

Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?

Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?

2%

$65.7K 交易量

$30.1K Liq.

1

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

90%

$2.1K 交易量

$7.8K Liq.

2

Ends 7 個月內

Will Ken Paxton drop out?

Will Ken Paxton drop out?

11%

$5.1K 交易量

$11.1K Liq.

Ends 大約 2 個月內

How many Republican Senators not running in 2026?

How many Republican Senators not running in 2026?

59%

7

$68.5K 交易量

$61.1K Liq.

5

Ends 5 個月內

How many Democratic Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

How many Democratic Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

70%

0

$3.7K 交易量

$5.9K Liq.

How many Republican Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

How many Republican Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

42%

2

$3.5K 交易量

$10.5K Liq.

How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in March?

How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in March?

4%

5

$26.1K 交易量

$846 Liq.

Ends 5 天前

How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in April?

How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in April?

55%

0

$12.0K 交易量

$2.4K Liq.

Ends 25 天內

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

80%

Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%

$107K 交易量

$39.5K Liq.

Ends 9 個月內

Next Senate Majority Leader?

Next Senate Majority Leader?

34%

Chuck Schumer

$32.8K 交易量

$77.7K Liq.

1

Ends 9 個月內

Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory

Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory

36%

Paxton 9%+

$45.4K 交易量

$78.8K Liq.

1

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?

Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?

21%

$106K 交易量

$7.1K Liq.

8

Ends 9 個月內

Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff

Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff

48%

0.6–0.9M

$4.2K 交易量

$15.6K Liq.

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Will the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?

Will the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?

5%

$38.2K 交易量

$48.8K Liq.

Ends 25 天內

Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won

Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won

77%

PL

$247K 交易量

$45.0K Liq.

6

Ends 6 個月內

Peru Senate Election Winner

Peru Senate Election Winner

42%

FP

$14.7K 交易量

$40.7K Liq.

3

Ends 7 天內

# of seats won by PH in Colombia Senate Election?

# of seats won by PH in Colombia Senate Election?

99%

24-26

$89.7K 交易量

$16.3K Liq.

1

Ends 28 天前

Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Held

Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Held

76%

PL

$6.4K 交易量

$19.8K Liq.

2

Ends 6 個月內

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 元老院.

Polymarket currently hosts 147 active markets for 元老院 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Which party will win the Senate in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $6.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Which party will win the House in 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Which party will win the House in 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 87% chance to Democratic Party. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 元老院 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.