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超過 預測與賠率

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Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

9%

December 31, 2026

$3M 交易量

$35.4K Liq.

126

Ends 8 個月內

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?

16%

$40.6K 交易量

$20.4K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?

U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?

11%

$27.8K 交易量

$14.7K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?

Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?

12%

$289K 交易量

$30.2K Liq.

45

Ends 8 個月內

Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?

Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?

22%

$128K 交易量

$21.3K Liq.

30

Ends 8 個月內

Anyone charged over SPLC extremism funding?

Anyone charged over SPLC extremism funding?

15%

$39 交易量

$76 Liq.

1

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Another crypto hack over $100M by ___?

Another crypto hack over $100M by ___?

89%

December 31

$3.7K 交易量

$1.4K Liq.

2

Ends 8 個月內

Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31?

Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31?

17%

$13.9K 交易量

$191 Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

Next French Presidential Election

Next French Presidential Election

24%

Jordan Bardella

$62M 交易量

$966K today

$5M Liq.

461

Ends 12 個月內

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

2%

$16M 交易量

$507K today

$858K Liq.

1

Ends 24 天內

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

7%

$23M 交易量

$335K today

$980K Liq.

71

Ends 8 個月內

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

22%

$25M 交易量

$3M today

$631K Liq.

3

Ends 8 個月內

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

9%

June 30

$41M 交易量

$450K today

$682K Liq.

397

Ends 大約 1 個月前

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

17%

$17M 交易量

$197K today

$330K Liq.

6

Ends 8 個月內

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

5%

$38M 交易量

$1M today

$779K Liq.

1

Ends 大約 2 個月內

April Inflation US - Annual

April Inflation US - Annual

38%

3.7%

$257K 交易量

$76.3K Liq.

Ends 5 天內

Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?

Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?

2%

June 30, 2026

$4M 交易量

$65.5K Liq.

59

Ends 4 個月前

Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Punjab Kings

Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Punjab Kings

100%

Sunrisers Hyderabad

$2M 交易量

$2M today

$684K Liq.

1

Ends 7 天內

Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

68%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$7M 交易量

$78.9K today

$2M Liq.

100

Ends 8 個月內

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

2%

$7M 交易量

$173K Liq.

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 超過.

Polymarket currently hosts 748 active markets for 超過 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $246.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Next French Presidential Election,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Next French Presidential Election,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 24% chance to Jordan Bardella. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 超過 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.