Skip to main content

主要選舉 預測與賠率

·
Maine Senate Election Winner

Maine Senate Election Winner

62%

Democrat

$566K 交易量

$112K Liq.

25

Ends 4 個月內

Maine Governor Election Winner

Maine Governor Election Winner

89%

Democrat

$9.7K 交易量

$23.8K Liq.

Ends 4 個月內

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

84%

Kuomintang (KMT)

$126K 交易量

$67.3K Liq.

36

Ends 5 個月內

Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?

Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?

86%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$399K 交易量

$125K Liq.

119

Ends 3 個月內

Mexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place?

Mexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place?

36%

PAN

$5.6K 交易量

$31.8K Liq.

Ends 12 個月內

Mexico Legislative Election Winner

Mexico Legislative Election Winner

85%

Morena

$52.6K 交易量

$117K Liq.

Ends 12 個月內

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

42%

Likud

$40.1K 交易量

$119K Liq.

2

Ends 4 個月內

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

38%

Lula da Silva 5-10%

$256K 交易量

$180K Liq.

14

Ends 3 個月內

Peru Presidential Election Winner

Peru Presidential Election Winner

99%

Keiko Fujimori

$105M 交易量

$425K today

$15M Liq.

14,694

Ends 2 個月前

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

17%

$77.0K 交易量

$27.2K Liq.

34

Ends 3 個月內

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

21%

$3M 交易量

$41.8K Liq.

18

Ends 4 個月內

Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

28%

20-24

$18.9K 交易量

$60.4K Liq.

Ends 4 個月內

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

77%

Flávio Bolsonaro

$4M 交易量

$707K Liq.

42

Ends 3 個月內

NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)

NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)

52%

Labour

$93 交易量

$158 Liq.

Ends 5 個月內

Ethiopia Parliamentary Election Winner

Ethiopia Parliamentary Election Winner

99%

Prosperity

$14.5K 交易量

$42.2K Liq.

7

Ends 24 天前

Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner

Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner

95%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

$1M 交易量

$255K Liq.

11

Ends 3 個月內

Brazil Presidential Election

Brazil Presidential Election

57%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$105M 交易量

$933K today

$9M Liq.

12,471

Ends 3 個月內

Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory? (0.1% brackets)

Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory? (0.1% brackets)

97%

Fujimori 0.2–0.3%

$3M 交易量

$707K Liq.

50

NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

44%

Labour 0-5%

$1.8K 交易量

$33.6K Liq.

Ends 5 個月內

UK election called by...?

UK election called by...?

44%

June 30, 2027

$796K 交易量

$12.9K Liq.

15

Ends 6 個月前

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 主要選舉.

Polymarket currently hosts 103 active markets for 主要選舉 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Maine Senate Election Winner”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $224.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Peru Presidential Election Winner,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Peru Presidential Election Winner,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 99% chance to Keiko Fujimori. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 主要選舉 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.