US and Israeli forces launched extensive airstrikes on Iranian nuclear sites, missile infrastructure, and leadership targets starting February 28, 2026, killing Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and prompting Iranian missile barrages on Israel, US bases, and Saudi Arabia in retaliation. Gulf states including Saudi Arabia and the UAE have signaled readiness to join strikes if Iran attacks their energy or water facilities, amid reports of preparations alongside ongoing US operations. UK, France, and Germany announced potential defensive actions against Iranian missile capabilities, while 22 nations endorsed a multinational Strait of Hormuz security force. President Trump extended a deadline to April 6 for Iran to reopen the strait or face energy infrastructure strikes, as Tehran rejected a US ceasefire proposal, heightening escalation risks before the April 30 resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$452,843 交易量
Apr 30, 2026
Saudi Arabia
30%
UAE
23%
Bahrain
8%
Kuwait
7%
Jordan
6%
Qatar
6%
Any E.U. Country
5%
France
5%
Turkey
4%
Oman
4%
UK
3%
Germany
3%
Canada
1%
$452,843 交易量
Saudi Arabia
$65,609 交易量
30%
UAE
$36,518 交易量
23%
Bahrain
$724 交易量
8%
Kuwait
$1,185 交易量
7%
Jordan
$915 交易量
6%
Qatar
$426 交易量
6%
Any E.U. Country
$5,054 交易量
5%
France
$148,440 交易量
5%
Turkey
$14,950 交易量
4%
Oman
$319 交易量
4%
UK
$103,146 交易量
3%
Germany
$75,558 交易量
3%
Canada
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US and Israeli forces launched extensive airstrikes on Iranian nuclear sites, missile infrastructure, and leadership targets starting February 28, 2026, killing Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and prompting Iranian missile barrages on Israel, US bases, and Saudi Arabia in retaliation. Gulf states including Saudi Arabia and the UAE have signaled readiness to join strikes if Iran attacks their energy or water facilities, amid reports of preparations alongside ongoing US operations. UK, France, and Germany announced potential defensive actions against Iranian missile capabilities, while 22 nations endorsed a multinational Strait of Hormuz security force. President Trump extended a deadline to April 6 for Iran to reopen the strait or face energy infrastructure strikes, as Tehran rejected a US ceasefire proposal, heightening escalation risks before the April 30 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Mar 23, 2026, 6:25 PM ET
交易量
$452,843結束日期
Apr 30, 2026市場開放時間
Mar 23, 2026, 6:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US and Israeli forces launched extensive airstrikes on Iranian nuclear sites, missile infrastructure, and leadership targets starting February 28, 2026, killing Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and prompting Iranian missile barrages on Israel, US bases, and Saudi Arabia in retaliation. Gulf states including Saudi Arabia and the UAE have signaled readiness to join strikes if Iran attacks their energy or water facilities, amid reports of preparations alongside ongoing US operations. UK, France, and Germany announced potential defensive actions against Iranian missile capabilities, while 22 nations endorsed a multinational Strait of Hormuz security force. President Trump extended a deadline to April 6 for Iran to reopen the strait or face energy infrastructure strikes, as Tehran rejected a US ceasefire proposal, heightening escalation risks before the April 30 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$452,843結束日期
Apr 30, 2026市場開放時間
Mar 23, 2026, 6:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US and Israeli forces launched extensive airstrikes on Iranian nuclear sites, missile infrastructure, and leadership targets starting February 28, 2026, killing Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and prompting Iranian missile barrages on Israel, US bases, and Saudi Arabia in retaliation. Gulf states including Saudi Arabia and the UAE have signaled readiness to join strikes if Iran attacks their energy or water facilities, amid reports of preparations alongside ongoing US operations. UK, France, and Germany announced potential defensive actions against Iranian missile capabilities, while 22 nations endorsed a multinational Strait of Hormuz security force. President Trump extended a deadline to April 6 for Iran to reopen the strait or face energy infrastructure strikes, as Tehran rejected a US ceasefire proposal, heightening escalation risks before the April 30 resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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