Market icon
政治·DHS

國土安全部關機何時結束？

Market icon
政治·DHS

國土安全部關機何時結束？

Mar 31

Apr 30

Mar 31

Apr 30

4月30日之後 33.8%

4月21日至24日 15.4%

4月13日至16日 14.8%

4月17日至20日 12.7%

Polymarket

$502,774 交易量

4月30日之後 33.8%

4月21日至24日 15.4%

4月13日至16日 14.8%

4月17日至20日 12.7%

Polymarket

$502,774 交易量

4月1日之前

$32,637 交易量

2%

4月1日至4日

$3,417 交易量

2%

4月5日至8日

$3,338 交易量

2%

4月9日至12日

$2,891 交易量

2%

4月13日至16日

$9,220 交易量

15%

4月17日至20日

$388,469 交易量

13%

4月21日至24日

$37,975 交易量

15%

4月25日至28日

$3,314 交易量

3%

4月29日至30日

$3,301 交易量

1%

4月30日之後

$18,211 交易量

34%

This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.The partial shutdown of the Department of Homeland Security, now the longest in U.S. history at over six weeks, stems from partisan disagreements over appropriations, particularly ICE and CBP reforms, driving trader consensus toward a prolonged resolution with "After April 30" leading at 33.7%. Over the past 48 hours, the Senate unanimously passed a bipartisan measure funding most DHS operations short-term, but House Republicans rejected it in favor of their own 60-day continuing resolution covering all components, leaving negotiations stalled without a conference committee. President Trump's recent memorandum directing TSA paychecks offers partial relief amid airport disruptions, yet broader funding impasse favors later outcomes. Consolidation behind April 21-24 (16.1%) or April 13-16 (14.8%) could follow bipartisan leadership talks or a revised omnibus, while holdouts on spending levels risk extending past April.

The partial shutdown of the Department of Homeland Security, now the longest in U.S. history at over six weeks, stems from partisan disagreements over appropriations, particularly ICE and CBP reforms, driving trader consensus toward a prolonged resolution with "After April 30" leading at 33.7%. Over the past 48 hours, the Senate unanimously passed a bipartisan measure funding most DHS operations short-term, but House Republicans rejected it in favor of their own 60-day continuing resolution covering all components, leaving negotiations stalled without a conference committee. President Trump's recent memorandum directing TSA paychecks offers partial relief amid airport disruptions, yet broader funding impasse favors later outcomes. Consolidation behind April 21-24 (16.1%) or April 13-16 (14.8%) could follow bipartisan leadership talks or a revised omnibus, while holdouts on spending levels risk extending past April.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.The partial shutdown of the Department of Homeland Security, now the longest in U.S. history at over six weeks, stems from partisan disagreements over appropriations, particularly ICE and CBP reforms, driving trader consensus toward a prolonged resolution with "After April 30" leading at 33.7%. Over the past 48 hours, the Senate unanimously passed a bipartisan measure funding most DHS operations short-term, but House Republicans rejected it in favor of their own 60-day continuing resolution covering all components, leaving negotiations stalled without a conference committee. President Trump's recent memorandum directing TSA paychecks offers partial relief amid airport disruptions, yet broader funding impasse favors later outcomes. Consolidation behind April 21-24 (16.1%) or April 13-16 (14.8%) could follow bipartisan leadership talks or a revised omnibus, while holdouts on spending levels risk extending past April.

The partial shutdown of the Department of Homeland Security, now the longest in U.S. history at over six weeks, stems from partisan disagreements over appropriations, particularly ICE and CBP reforms, driving trader consensus toward a prolonged resolution with "After April 30" leading at 33.7%. Over the past 48 hours, the Senate unanimously passed a bipartisan measure funding most DHS operations short-term, but House Republicans rejected it in favor of their own 60-day continuing resolution covering all components, leaving negotiations stalled without a conference committee. President Trump's recent memorandum directing TSA paychecks offers partial relief amid airport disruptions, yet broader funding impasse favors later outcomes. Consolidation behind April 21-24 (16.1%) or April 13-16 (14.8%) could follow bipartisan leadership talks or a revised omnibus, while holdouts on spending levels risk extending past April.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"國土安全部關機何時結束？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "4月30日之後" at 34%, followed by "4月13日至16日" at 15%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 34¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "國土安全部關機何時結束？" has generated $502.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "國土安全部關機何時結束？," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "國土安全部關機何時結束？" is "4月30日之後" at 34%, meaning the market assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "4月13日至16日" at 15%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "國土安全部關機何時結束？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.