Market icon
政治·DHS

國土安全部關機何時結束？

Market icon
政治·DHS

國土安全部關機何時結束？

Mar 31

Apr 30

Mar 31

Apr 30

4月30日之後 57.0%

4月13日至16日 12.5%

4月21日至24日 12.1%

4月17日至20日 11.8%

Polymarket

$485,108 交易量

4月30日之後 57.0%

4月13日至16日 12.5%

4月21日至24日 12.1%

4月17日至20日 11.8%

Polymarket

$485,108 交易量

4月1日之前

$32,181 交易量

1%

4月1日至4日

$2,965 交易量

2%

4月5日至8日

$2,885 交易量

2%

4月9日至12日

$2,439 交易量

2%

4月13日至16日

$8,709 交易量

13%

4月17日至20日

$387,463 交易量

12%

4月21日至24日

$37,525 交易量

12%

4月25日至28日

$2,863 交易量

2%

4月29日至30日

$2,849 交易量

1%

4月30日之後

$5,228 交易量

57%

This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices a 57% implied probability that the partial Department of Homeland Security shutdown will extend beyond April 30, driven by deepening partisan gridlock in Congress over appropriations tied to ICE and CBP reforms. The funding lapse, which began February 14 and became the longest partial government shutdown in U.S. history at 44 days as of March 29, has seen the House pass three funding bills—most recently on March 26—only for them to stall in the Senate, while Senate Democrats' March 27 proposal to fund most DHS operations excluding immigration enforcement was rejected by Republicans. Airport chaos from TSA understaffing mounts pressure, but with negotiators deadlocked on enforcement limits, body cameras, and officer ID rules, and Congress facing recess, early- and mid-April resolutions appear unlikely absent a breakthrough.

Trader consensus prices a 57% implied probability that the partial Department of Homeland Security shutdown will extend beyond April 30, driven by deepening partisan gridlock in Congress over appropriations tied to ICE and CBP reforms. The funding lapse, which began February 14 and became the longest partial government shutdown in U.S. history at 44 days as of March 29, has seen the House pass three funding bills—most recently on March 26—only for them to stall in the Senate, while Senate Democrats' March 27 proposal to fund most DHS operations excluding immigration enforcement was rejected by Republicans. Airport chaos from TSA understaffing mounts pressure, but with negotiators deadlocked on enforcement limits, body cameras, and officer ID rules, and Congress facing recess, early- and mid-April resolutions appear unlikely absent a breakthrough.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices a 57% implied probability that the partial Department of Homeland Security shutdown will extend beyond April 30, driven by deepening partisan gridlock in Congress over appropriations tied to ICE and CBP reforms. The funding lapse, which began February 14 and became the longest partial government shutdown in U.S. history at 44 days as of March 29, has seen the House pass three funding bills—most recently on March 26—only for them to stall in the Senate, while Senate Democrats' March 27 proposal to fund most DHS operations excluding immigration enforcement was rejected by Republicans. Airport chaos from TSA understaffing mounts pressure, but with negotiators deadlocked on enforcement limits, body cameras, and officer ID rules, and Congress facing recess, early- and mid-April resolutions appear unlikely absent a breakthrough.

Trader consensus prices a 57% implied probability that the partial Department of Homeland Security shutdown will extend beyond April 30, driven by deepening partisan gridlock in Congress over appropriations tied to ICE and CBP reforms. The funding lapse, which began February 14 and became the longest partial government shutdown in U.S. history at 44 days as of March 29, has seen the House pass three funding bills—most recently on March 26—only for them to stall in the Senate, while Senate Democrats' March 27 proposal to fund most DHS operations excluding immigration enforcement was rejected by Republicans. Airport chaos from TSA understaffing mounts pressure, but with negotiators deadlocked on enforcement limits, body cameras, and officer ID rules, and Congress facing recess, early- and mid-April resolutions appear unlikely absent a breakthrough.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"國土安全部關機何時結束？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "4月30日之後" at 57%, followed by "4月13日至16日" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 57¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "國土安全部關機何時結束？" has generated $485.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "國土安全部關機何時結束？," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "國土安全部關機何時結束？" is "4月30日之後" at 57%, meaning the market assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "4月13日至16日" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "國土安全部關機何時結束？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.