Trader consensus on Polymarket prices South Africa 2026 annual CPI above 5% as the leading outcome at 25.7% implied probability, closely trailed by the 4.7-5.0% bin at 21.5%, reflecting fragmented sentiment amid elevated uncertainty from the Middle East oil shock. The South African Reserve Bank's March 26 MPC held the repo rate at 6.75%, citing upside inflation risks, with its baseline forecast revised upward to a 3.7% 2026 average (Q2 peak at 4.0%) versus prior 3.3%, assuming oil at $78/barrel amid conflict-driven surges toward $100. February CPI eased to 3.0%—bang on the 3% target—but fuel passthrough is set to accelerate Q2 inflation over 18%, differentiating higher bins if geopolitical tensions persist; key swing factors include March CPI (due mid-April) and May MPC.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於>5.0% 25.7%
4.7-5.0% 21%
3.8-4.1% 18.4%
4.4-4.7% 15.0%
$19,241 交易量
$19,241 交易量
Jan 20, 2027
低於2.6%
3%
2.6-2.9%
10%
2.9-3.2%
9%
3.2-3.5%
15%
3.5-3.8%
14%
3.8-4.1%
18%
4.1-4.4%
13%
4.4-4.7%
15%
4.7-5.0%
21%
>5.0%
26%
>5.0% 25.7%
4.7-5.0% 21%
3.8-4.1% 18.4%
4.4-4.7% 15.0%
$19,241 交易量
$19,241 交易量
Jan 20, 2027
低於2.6%
$0 交易量
3%
2.6-2.9%
$0 交易量
10%
2.9-3.2%
$0 交易量
9%
3.2-3.5%
$0 交易量
15%
3.5-3.8%
$428 交易量
14%
3.8-4.1%
$633 交易量
18%
4.1-4.4%
$0 交易量
13%
4.4-4.7%
$12,058 交易量
15%
4.7-5.0%
$318 交易量
21%
>5.0%
$5,804 交易量
26%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874Trader consensus on Polymarket prices South Africa 2026 annual CPI above 5% as the leading outcome at 25.7% implied probability, closely trailed by the 4.7-5.0% bin at 21.5%, reflecting fragmented sentiment amid elevated uncertainty from the Middle East oil shock. The South African Reserve Bank's March 26 MPC held the repo rate at 6.75%, citing upside inflation risks, with its baseline forecast revised upward to a 3.7% 2026 average (Q2 peak at 4.0%) versus prior 3.3%, assuming oil at $78/barrel amid conflict-driven surges toward $100. February CPI eased to 3.0%—bang on the 3% target—but fuel passthrough is set to accelerate Q2 inflation over 18%, differentiating higher bins if geopolitical tensions persist; key swing factors include March CPI (due mid-April) and May MPC.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
市場開放時間： Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
交易量
$19,241結束日期
Jan 20, 2027市場開放時間
Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874Trader consensus on Polymarket prices South Africa 2026 annual CPI above 5% as the leading outcome at 25.7% implied probability, closely trailed by the 4.7-5.0% bin at 21.5%, reflecting fragmented sentiment amid elevated uncertainty from the Middle East oil shock. The South African Reserve Bank's March 26 MPC held the repo rate at 6.75%, citing upside inflation risks, with its baseline forecast revised upward to a 3.7% 2026 average (Q2 peak at 4.0%) versus prior 3.3%, assuming oil at $78/barrel amid conflict-driven surges toward $100. February CPI eased to 3.0%—bang on the 3% target—but fuel passthrough is set to accelerate Q2 inflation over 18%, differentiating higher bins if geopolitical tensions persist; key swing factors include March CPI (due mid-April) and May MPC.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
交易量
$19,241結束日期
Jan 20, 2027市場開放時間
Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices South Africa 2026 annual CPI above 5% as the leading outcome at 25.7% implied probability, closely trailed by the 4.7-5.0% bin at 21.5%, reflecting fragmented sentiment amid elevated uncertainty from the Middle East oil shock. The South African Reserve Bank's March 26 MPC held the repo rate at 6.75%, citing upside inflation risks, with its baseline forecast revised upward to a 3.7% 2026 average (Q2 peak at 4.0%) versus prior 3.3%, assuming oil at $78/barrel amid conflict-driven surges toward $100. February CPI eased to 3.0%—bang on the 3% target—but fuel passthrough is set to accelerate Q2 inflation over 18%, differentiating higher bins if geopolitical tensions persist; key swing factors include March CPI (due mid-April) and May MPC.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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