Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight contest among $60-$70 (17%), $80-$90 (16%), and $70-$80 (16%) outcomes for June silver (SI) settlement, reflecting heightened volatility around current spot levels near $82 per ounce and June futures at $82.55. A 5% surge last Friday to $82 stemmed from geopolitical de-escalation signals in the Middle East and confirmation of persistent supply deficits—the second-highest in 20 years per the Silver Institute—bolstered by surging industrial demand in solar photovoltaics, EVs, and AI data centers. However, countervailing pressures from potential Fed rate stabilization and USD strength cap upside conviction, with forecasts like J.P. Morgan's $81 average for 2026 tempering extremes. Key swing factors ahead include April CPI data and May FOMC signals, alongside COMEX inventory reports.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於60-70美元 17.9%
80至90美元 16%
70至80美元 15.8%
>$115 13%
$477,453 交易量
$477,453 交易量
低於50美元
7%
$50-$60
9%
60-70美元
18%
70至80美元
16%
80至90美元
16%
$90-$100
12%
100至115美元
11%
>$115
13%
60-70美元 17.9%
80至90美元 16%
70至80美元 15.8%
>$115 13%
$477,453 交易量
$477,453 交易量
低於50美元
7%
$50-$60
9%
60-70美元
18%
70至80美元
16%
80至90美元
16%
$90-$100
12%
100至115美元
11%
>$115
13%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
市場開放時間: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight contest among $60-$70 (17%), $80-$90 (16%), and $70-$80 (16%) outcomes for June silver (SI) settlement, reflecting heightened volatility around current spot levels near $82 per ounce and June futures at $82.55. A 5% surge last Friday to $82 stemmed from geopolitical de-escalation signals in the Middle East and confirmation of persistent supply deficits—the second-highest in 20 years per the Silver Institute—bolstered by surging industrial demand in solar photovoltaics, EVs, and AI data centers. However, countervailing pressures from potential Fed rate stabilization and USD strength cap upside conviction, with forecasts like J.P. Morgan's $81 average for 2026 tempering extremes. Key swing factors ahead include April CPI data and May FOMC signals, alongside COMEX inventory reports.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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