Trader consensus on Polymarket has coalesced at 100% implied probability for 2.6M-2.8M TSA checkpoint passengers on April 10, 2026, following the official Transportation Security Administration data release confirming throughput squarely within this range—consistent with weekday patterns like April 9's 2.691 million and April 3's 2.660 million screened. This strong positioning reflects sustained U.S. air travel demand amid stable consumer spending and post-spring break normalization, where real-capital wagers aggregate to wisdom-of-crowds precision on economic indicators. Realistic challenges are limited to rare TSA data revisions, as historical precedents show minimal post-release adjustments; traders eye upcoming daily TSA figures for continued volume trends influencing broader travel sector sentiment.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於2.6M-2.8M 100.0%
<2.2M <1%
2.2M-2.4M <1%
2.4M-2.6M <1%
$14,863 交易量
$14,863 交易量
<2.2M
No
2.2M-2.4M
No
2.4M-2.6M
No
2.6M-2.8M
Yes
2.8M-3.0M
No
>3.0M
No
2.6M-2.8M 100.0%
<2.2M <1%
2.2M-2.4M <1%
2.4M-2.6M <1%
$14,863 交易量
$14,863 交易量
<2.2M
No
2.2M-2.4M
No
2.4M-2.6M
No
2.6M-2.8M
Yes
2.8M-3.0M
No
>3.0M
No
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
市場開放時間: Apr 7, 2026, 4:30 PM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has coalesced at 100% implied probability for 2.6M-2.8M TSA checkpoint passengers on April 10, 2026, following the official Transportation Security Administration data release confirming throughput squarely within this range—consistent with weekday patterns like April 9's 2.691 million and April 3's 2.660 million screened. This strong positioning reflects sustained U.S. air travel demand amid stable consumer spending and post-spring break normalization, where real-capital wagers aggregate to wisdom-of-crowds precision on economic indicators. Realistic challenges are limited to rare TSA data revisions, as historical precedents show minimal post-release adjustments; traders eye upcoming daily TSA figures for continued volume trends influencing broader travel sector sentiment.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions