Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 24°C in Wuhan at 59.5% implied probability, closely tracking the latest forecast from the China Meteorological Administration's National Meteorological Center, which projects a daytime high of 24°C under clear skies amid a high-pressure ridge. This positions 25°C (19.5%) and 23°C (16.5%) as viable alternatives, reflecting slight divergences in international models like those from AccuWeather indicating up to 25°C with abundant sunshine. Early April climatology shows average highs around 20–22°C, but current warming trends and minimal cloud cover support the elevated outlook; intraday observations from Hankou station will clarify as peak heating occurs this afternoon, with resolution based on official CMA measurements by day's end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 1?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 1?
24°C 57%
23°C 23%
25°C 19%
26°C 2.8%
$59,290 交易量
$59,290 交易量
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
23%
24°C
55%
25°C
19%
26°C
3%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 57%
23°C 23%
25°C 19%
26°C 2.8%
$59,290 交易量
$59,290 交易量
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
23%
24°C
55%
25°C
19%
26°C
3%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 24°C in Wuhan at 59.5% implied probability, closely tracking the latest forecast from the China Meteorological Administration's National Meteorological Center, which projects a daytime high of 24°C under clear skies amid a high-pressure ridge. This positions 25°C (19.5%) and 23°C (16.5%) as viable alternatives, reflecting slight divergences in international models like those from AccuWeather indicating up to 25°C with abundant sunshine. Early April climatology shows average highs around 20–22°C, but current warming trends and minimal cloud cover support the elevated outlook; intraday observations from Hankou station will clarify as peak heating occurs this afternoon, with resolution based on official CMA measurements by day's end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions