Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 24°C (45%) and 23°C (36.5%) for Wuhan's highest temperature today, mirroring the narrow spread in latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like those aggregated on TimeandDate and AccuWeather, which project peaks of 23–25°C under sunny skies and light southerly winds at 10–11 km/h. This positioning stems from a recent high-pressure ridge over central China enhancing solar insolation after morning clouds dissipate, elevating readings above the early-April climatological average of ~20°C; however, uncertainty persists from variable boundary-layer mixing and potential afternoon haze, which could limit the peak by 1°C. Key differentiator: stronger midday heating favors 24°C, while subtle convergence might favor 23°C. Real-time observations from Wuhan Tianhe International Airport will resolve the market by midnight local time.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 1?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 1?
24°C 48%
23°C 36%
25°C 12%
26°C 4.4%
$51,318 交易量
$51,318 交易量
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
3%
23°C
36%
24°C
48%
25°C
12%
26°C
4%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 48%
23°C 36%
25°C 12%
26°C 4.4%
$51,318 交易量
$51,318 交易量
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
3%
23°C
36%
24°C
48%
25°C
12%
26°C
4%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 24°C (45%) and 23°C (36.5%) for Wuhan's highest temperature today, mirroring the narrow spread in latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like those aggregated on TimeandDate and AccuWeather, which project peaks of 23–25°C under sunny skies and light southerly winds at 10–11 km/h. This positioning stems from a recent high-pressure ridge over central China enhancing solar insolation after morning clouds dissipate, elevating readings above the early-April climatological average of ~20°C; however, uncertainty persists from variable boundary-layer mixing and potential afternoon haze, which could limit the peak by 1°C. Key differentiator: stronger midday heating favors 24°C, while subtle convergence might favor 23°C. Real-time observations from Wuhan Tianhe International Airport will resolve the market by midnight local time.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions