Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 18–20°C for Shanghai's highest temperature today, with 19°C at 34% implied probability, reflecting the tight clustering in latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts around 18–19°C under a developing high-pressure ridge over eastern China. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover potentially capping peaks at 18°C, versus clearing skies and afternoon solar heating pushing toward 20°C or the China Meteorological Administration's March 29 projection of 21°C; moderating sea breezes from the East China Sea add 1–2°C uncertainty consistent with early April climatology at Xujiahui station (historical highs averaging 18–19°C). Official hourly observations will refine sentiment as the day progresses toward resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 1?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 1?
19°C 40%
20°C 29%
18°C 21%
21°C 8%
$157,846 交易量
$157,846 交易量
2026-04-01
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
21%
19°C
40%
20°C
29%
21°C
8%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
<1%
19°C 40%
20°C 29%
18°C 21%
21°C 8%
$157,846 交易量
$157,846 交易量
2026-04-01
14°C or below
$7,585 交易量
<1%
15°C
$12,472 交易量
<1%
16°C
$14,306 交易量
<1%
17°C
$28,548 交易量
2%
18°C
$16,558 交易量
21%
19°C
$9,037 交易量
40%
20°C
$9,304 交易量
29%
21°C
$11,096 交易量
8%
22°C
$20,865 交易量
2%
23°C
$13,730 交易量
1%
24°C or higher
$14,737 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 18–20°C for Shanghai's highest temperature today, with 19°C at 34% implied probability, reflecting the tight clustering in latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts around 18–19°C under a developing high-pressure ridge over eastern China. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover potentially capping peaks at 18°C, versus clearing skies and afternoon solar heating pushing toward 20°C or the China Meteorological Administration's March 29 projection of 21°C; moderating sea breezes from the East China Sea add 1–2°C uncertainty consistent with early April climatology at Xujiahui station (historical highs averaging 18–19°C). Official hourly observations will refine sentiment as the day progresses toward resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Mar 29, 2026, 5:09 PM ET
交易量
$157,846結束日期
2026-04-01市場開放時間
Mar 29, 2026, 5:09 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 18–20°C for Shanghai's highest temperature today, with 19°C at 34% implied probability, reflecting the tight clustering in latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts around 18–19°C under a developing high-pressure ridge over eastern China. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover potentially capping peaks at 18°C, versus clearing skies and afternoon solar heating pushing toward 20°C or the China Meteorological Administration's March 29 projection of 21°C; moderating sea breezes from the East China Sea add 1–2°C uncertainty consistent with early April climatology at Xujiahui station (historical highs averaging 18–19°C). Official hourly observations will refine sentiment as the day progresses toward resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$157,846結束日期
2026-04-01市場開放時間
Mar 29, 2026, 5:09 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 18–20°C for Shanghai's highest temperature today, with 19°C at 34% implied probability, reflecting the tight clustering in latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts around 18–19°C under a developing high-pressure ridge over eastern China. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover potentially capping peaks at 18°C, versus clearing skies and afternoon solar heating pushing toward 20°C or the China Meteorological Administration's March 29 projection of 21°C; moderating sea breezes from the East China Sea add 1–2°C uncertainty consistent with early April climatology at Xujiahui station (historical highs averaging 18–19°C). Official hourly observations will refine sentiment as the day progresses toward resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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