Market icon

3月29日首爾最高溫度？

Market icon

3月29日首爾最高溫度？

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 28

Mar 29

14°C 22%

13°C 21%

15°C 16%

17°C或以上 16%

Polymarket

$36,327 交易量

14°C 22%

13°C 21%

15°C 16%

17°C或以上 16%

Polymarket

$36,327 交易量

7°C或以下

$3,179 交易量

<1%

8°C

$3,246 交易量

<1%

9°C

$3,490 交易量

1%

10°C

$2,708 交易量

3%

11°C

$2,463 交易量

6%

12°C

$2,747 交易量

9%

13°C

$3,466 交易量

21%

14°C

$2,515 交易量

22%

15°C

$1,968 交易量

16%

16°C

$2,462 交易量

11%

17°C或以上

$8,087 交易量

16%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast, updated March 27, projects Seoul's highest temperature on March 29 at 20°C under mostly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and 20% precipitation chance, reflecting southerly flow advecting warmer air amid large diurnal swings typical of late March. Yet trader consensus clusters implied probabilities tightly around 13–14°C (21% each), signaling doubt from divergent global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS, where thicker low-level clouds could cap daytime heating by reducing solar insolation. Differentiating factors include boundary layer mixing strength and exact timing of cloud development; historical late March highs average 12–15°C with high variability. Key KMA update expected today could resolve this uncertainty before resolution.[[1]](https://www.weather.go.kr/w/weather/forecast/short-term.do)[[2]](https://www.timeanddate.com/weather/south-korea/seoul/ext)[[3]](https://worldweather.wmo.int/en/city.html?cityId=231)[[4]](https://weatherspark.com/y/142033/Average-Weather-in-Seoul-South-Korea-Year-Round)

Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast, updated March 27, projects Seoul's highest temperature on March 29 at 20°C under mostly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and 20% precipitation chance, reflecting southerly flow advecting warmer air amid large diurnal swings typical of late March. Yet trader consensus clusters implied probabilities tightly around 13–14°C (21% each), signaling doubt from divergent global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS, where thicker low-level clouds could cap daytime heating by reducing solar insolation. Differentiating factors include boundary layer mixing strength and exact timing of cloud development; historical late March highs average 12–15°C with high variability. Key KMA update expected today could resolve this uncertainty before resolution.[[1]](https://www.weather.go.kr/w/weather/forecast/short-term.do)[[2]](https://www.timeanddate.com/weather/south-korea/seoul/ext)[[3]](https://worldweather.wmo.int/en/city.html?cityId=231)[[4]](https://weatherspark.com/y/142033/Average-Weather-in-Seoul-South-Korea-Year-Round)

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast, updated March 27, projects Seoul's highest temperature on March 29 at 20°C under mostly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and 20% precipitation chance, reflecting southerly flow advecting warmer air amid large diurnal swings typical of late March. Yet trader consensus clusters implied probabilities tightly around 13–14°C (21% each), signaling doubt from divergent global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS, where thicker low-level clouds could cap daytime heating by reducing solar insolation. Differentiating factors include boundary layer mixing strength and exact timing of cloud development; historical late March highs average 12–15°C with high variability. Key KMA update expected today could resolve this uncertainty before resolution.[[1]](https://www.weather.go.kr/w/weather/forecast/short-term.do)[[2]](https://www.timeanddate.com/weather/south-korea/seoul/ext)[[3]](https://worldweather.wmo.int/en/city.html?cityId=231)[[4]](https://weatherspark.com/y/142033/Average-Weather-in-Seoul-South-Korea-Year-Round)

Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast, updated March 27, projects Seoul's highest temperature on March 29 at 20°C under mostly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and 20% precipitation chance, reflecting southerly flow advecting warmer air amid large diurnal swings typical of late March. Yet trader consensus clusters implied probabilities tightly around 13–14°C (21% each), signaling doubt from divergent global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS, where thicker low-level clouds could cap daytime heating by reducing solar insolation. Differentiating factors include boundary layer mixing strength and exact timing of cloud development; historical late March highs average 12–15°C with high variability. Key KMA update expected today could resolve this uncertainty before resolution.[[1]](https://www.weather.go.kr/w/weather/forecast/short-term.do)[[2]](https://www.timeanddate.com/weather/south-korea/seoul/ext)[[3]](https://worldweather.wmo.int/en/city.html?cityId=231)[[4]](https://weatherspark.com/y/142033/Average-Weather-in-Seoul-South-Korea-Year-Round)

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"3月29日首爾最高溫度？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "14°C" at 22%, followed by "13°C" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 22¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 22% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "3月29日首爾最高溫度？" has generated $36.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 25, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "3月29日首爾最高溫度？," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "3月29日首爾最高溫度？" is "14°C" at 22%, meaning the market assigns a 22% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "13°C" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "3月29日首爾最高溫度？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.