Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast, issued early March 28, pegs Seoul's daytime high at 12°C under clear skies with light southerly winds and morning temperatures near 5°C, driving the market-implied 87% probability for this outcome and aligning with ECMWF and GFS ensemble model consensus showing a tight 2–3°C spread around 12–15°C. Cool overnight observations and hazy conditions limiting solar insolation have reduced expectations for greater warming, consistent with late-March climatology where average highs approximate 12°C amid seasonal transition from winter. Traders note inherent forecast uncertainty from variable low-level winds, with KMA's Seoul station (No. 108) hourly data through afternoon providing key updates ahead of official daily maximum resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Seoul on March 28?
Highest temperature in Seoul on March 28?
12°C 91%
13°C 6.2%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$507,933 交易量
$507,933 交易量
11°C
<1%
12°C
91%
13°C
6%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
12°C 91%
13°C 6.2%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$507,933 交易量
$507,933 交易量
11°C
<1%
12°C
91%
13°C
6%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 24, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast, issued early March 28, pegs Seoul's daytime high at 12°C under clear skies with light southerly winds and morning temperatures near 5°C, driving the market-implied 87% probability for this outcome and aligning with ECMWF and GFS ensemble model consensus showing a tight 2–3°C spread around 12–15°C. Cool overnight observations and hazy conditions limiting solar insolation have reduced expectations for greater warming, consistent with late-March climatology where average highs approximate 12°C amid seasonal transition from winter. Traders note inherent forecast uncertainty from variable low-level winds, with KMA's Seoul station (No. 108) hourly data through afternoon providing key updates ahead of official daily maximum resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions