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Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on March 28?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on March 28?

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 28

Mar 29

29°C 37%

30°C 35%

31°C 13%

28°C 8%

Polymarket

$43,944 交易量

29°C 37%

30°C 35%

31°C 13%

28°C 8%

Polymarket

$43,944 交易量

24°C or below

$7,555 交易量

<1%

25°C

$2,313 交易量

<1%

26°C

$3,200 交易量

<1%

27°C

$4,223 交易量

2%

28°C

$4,006 交易量

8%

29°C

$4,726 交易量

37%

30°C

$3,641 交易量

35%

31°C

$3,419 交易量

13%

32°C

$2,846 交易量

2%

33°C

$2,828 交易量

1%

34°C or higher

$5,188 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in São Paulo's peak temperature today, with forecast models from INMET and Climatempo converging on 29–30°C amid sunny conditions, low humidity around 40%, and a stable high-pressure system promoting afternoon heating. Recent hourly guidance shows morning lows near 19°C rising to 29–30°C by mid-afternoon (3–4 p.m. local time), differentiating these leaders from 31°C (14.5%) due to limited intensification potential without stronger solar insolation or urban heat island amplification at the resolving station, São Paulo–Guarulhos Airport. Cooler outcomes trail as dry stability suppresses variability; watch real-time observations for cloud development or wind shifts that could tip the balance before evening.

Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in São Paulo's peak temperature today, with forecast models from INMET and Climatempo converging on 29–30°C amid sunny conditions, low humidity around 40%, and a stable high-pressure system promoting afternoon heating. Recent hourly guidance shows morning lows near 19°C rising to 29–30°C by mid-afternoon (3–4 p.m. local time), differentiating these leaders from 31°C (14.5%) due to limited intensification potential without stronger solar insolation or urban heat island amplification at the resolving station, São Paulo–Guarulhos Airport. Cooler outcomes trail as dry stability suppresses variability; watch real-time observations for cloud development or wind shifts that could tip the balance before evening.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in São Paulo's peak temperature today, with forecast models from INMET and Climatempo converging on 29–30°C amid sunny conditions, low humidity around 40%, and a stable high-pressure system promoting afternoon heating. Recent hourly guidance shows morning lows near 19°C rising to 29–30°C by mid-afternoon (3–4 p.m. local time), differentiating these leaders from 31°C (14.5%) due to limited intensification potential without stronger solar insolation or urban heat island amplification at the resolving station, São Paulo–Guarulhos Airport. Cooler outcomes trail as dry stability suppresses variability; watch real-time observations for cloud development or wind shifts that could tip the balance before evening.

Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in São Paulo's peak temperature today, with forecast models from INMET and Climatempo converging on 29–30°C amid sunny conditions, low humidity around 40%, and a stable high-pressure system promoting afternoon heating. Recent hourly guidance shows morning lows near 19°C rising to 29–30°C by mid-afternoon (3–4 p.m. local time), differentiating these leaders from 31°C (14.5%) due to limited intensification potential without stronger solar insolation or urban heat island amplification at the resolving station, São Paulo–Guarulhos Airport. Cooler outcomes trail as dry stability suppresses variability; watch real-time observations for cloud development or wind shifts that could tip the balance before evening.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on March 28?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "29°C" at 37%, followed by "30°C" at 35%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 37¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on March 28?" has generated $43.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on March 28?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on March 28?" is "29°C" at 37%, meaning the market assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "30°C" at 35%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on March 28?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.