Market icon

3月29日巴黎最高溫度?

Market icon

3月29日巴黎最高溫度?

12°C 39%

11°C 31%

13°C 16%

10°C 10%

Polymarket

$17,987 交易量

12°C 39%

11°C 31%

13°C 16%

10°C 10%

Polymarket

$17,987 交易量

6°C或以下

$1,635 交易量

<1%

7°C

$890 交易量

<1%

8°C

$1,383 交易量

1%

9°C

$948 交易量

1%

10°C

$1,630 交易量

10%

11°C

$1,734 交易量

31%

12°C

$1,950 交易量

39%

13°C

$2,319 交易量

16%

14°C

$1,884 交易量

5%

15°C

$1,635 交易量

1%

16°C或以上

$2,078 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS, pricing 12°C (36%) and 11°C (29.5%) as near-equals for Paris's highest temperature on March 29 amid a cooling trend. Persistent low cloud cover and scattered showers, following mid-week fronts with gusty winds, are suppressing daytime heating after earlier highs near 18°C; solar insolation remains limited under overcast skies, with boundary layer stability favoring sub-13°C peaks. Météo-France guidance points to 5–13°C range, but exact maxima hinge on afternoon cloud breaks or precip timing—key variables in 24-hour forecasts. Historical late-March averages hover around 12°C at Paris-Montsouris station, aligning with this clustered sentiment ahead of resolution.

Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS, pricing 12°C (36%) and 11°C (29.5%) as near-equals for Paris's highest temperature on March 29 amid a cooling trend. Persistent low cloud cover and scattered showers, following mid-week fronts with gusty winds, are suppressing daytime heating after earlier highs near 18°C; solar insolation remains limited under overcast skies, with boundary layer stability favoring sub-13°C peaks. Météo-France guidance points to 5–13°C range, but exact maxima hinge on afternoon cloud breaks or precip timing—key variables in 24-hour forecasts. Historical late-March averages hover around 12°C at Paris-Montsouris station, aligning with this clustered sentiment ahead of resolution.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS, pricing 12°C (36%) and 11°C (29.5%) as near-equals for Paris's highest temperature on March 29 amid a cooling trend. Persistent low cloud cover and scattered showers, following mid-week fronts with gusty winds, are suppressing daytime heating after earlier highs near 18°C; solar insolation remains limited under overcast skies, with boundary layer stability favoring sub-13°C peaks. Météo-France guidance points to 5–13°C range, but exact maxima hinge on afternoon cloud breaks or precip timing—key variables in 24-hour forecasts. Historical late-March averages hover around 12°C at Paris-Montsouris station, aligning with this clustered sentiment ahead of resolution.

Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS, pricing 12°C (36%) and 11°C (29.5%) as near-equals for Paris's highest temperature on March 29 amid a cooling trend. Persistent low cloud cover and scattered showers, following mid-week fronts with gusty winds, are suppressing daytime heating after earlier highs near 18°C; solar insolation remains limited under overcast skies, with boundary layer stability favoring sub-13°C peaks. Météo-France guidance points to 5–13°C range, but exact maxima hinge on afternoon cloud breaks or precip timing—key variables in 24-hour forecasts. Historical late-March averages hover around 12°C at Paris-Montsouris station, aligning with this clustered sentiment ahead of resolution.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"3月29日巴黎最高溫度?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "12°C" at 39%, followed by "11°C" at 31%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 39¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "3月29日巴黎最高溫度?" has generated $18K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 25, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "3月29日巴黎最高溫度?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "3月29日巴黎最高溫度?" is "12°C" at 39%, meaning the market assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "11°C" at 31%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "3月29日巴黎最高溫度?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.