Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS, pricing 12°C (36%) and 11°C (29.5%) as near-equals for Paris's highest temperature on March 29 amid a cooling trend. Persistent low cloud cover and scattered showers, following mid-week fronts with gusty winds, are suppressing daytime heating after earlier highs near 18°C; solar insolation remains limited under overcast skies, with boundary layer stability favoring sub-13°C peaks. Météo-France guidance points to 5–13°C range, but exact maxima hinge on afternoon cloud breaks or precip timing—key variables in 24-hour forecasts. Historical late-March averages hover around 12°C at Paris-Montsouris station, aligning with this clustered sentiment ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於3月29日巴黎最高溫度?
3月29日巴黎最高溫度?
12°C 39%
11°C 31%
13°C 16%
10°C 10%
$17,987 交易量
$17,987 交易量
6°C或以下
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
10%
11°C
31%
12°C
39%
13°C
16%
14°C
5%
15°C
1%
16°C或以上
<1%
12°C 39%
11°C 31%
13°C 16%
10°C 10%
$17,987 交易量
$17,987 交易量
6°C或以下
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
10%
11°C
31%
12°C
39%
13°C
16%
14°C
5%
15°C
1%
16°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 25, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS, pricing 12°C (36%) and 11°C (29.5%) as near-equals for Paris's highest temperature on March 29 amid a cooling trend. Persistent low cloud cover and scattered showers, following mid-week fronts with gusty winds, are suppressing daytime heating after earlier highs near 18°C; solar insolation remains limited under overcast skies, with boundary layer stability favoring sub-13°C peaks. Météo-France guidance points to 5–13°C range, but exact maxima hinge on afternoon cloud breaks or precip timing—key variables in 24-hour forecasts. Historical late-March averages hover around 12°C at Paris-Montsouris station, aligning with this clustered sentiment ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions