Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Paris high of 11°C at 43% implied probability, edging out 10°C at 36%, driven by Météo-France observations showing 11°C at Montsouris station around 14:40 under persistent overcast skies and light showers from a passing low-pressure perturbation. Northerly winds advect cooler maritime air, limiting insolation and capping daytime heating, while ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts cluster maxima between 10-12°C with modest spread due to varying cloud thickness and precipitation timing. Differentiation hinges on afternoon cloud breaks potentially pushing to 12°C (17.5%) versus intensified showers holding at 10°C; official station readings through evening will resolve amid typical March variability around 11°C averages.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Paris on March 28?
Highest temperature in Paris on March 28?
11°C 43%
10°C 35%
12°C 17%
9°C 4.4%
$57,394 交易量
$57,394 交易量
8°C
1%
9°C
4%
10°C
35%
11°C
43%
12°C
17%
13°C
2%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
11°C 43%
10°C 35%
12°C 17%
9°C 4.4%
$57,394 交易量
$57,394 交易量
8°C
1%
9°C
4%
10°C
35%
11°C
43%
12°C
17%
13°C
2%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 24, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Paris high of 11°C at 43% implied probability, edging out 10°C at 36%, driven by Météo-France observations showing 11°C at Montsouris station around 14:40 under persistent overcast skies and light showers from a passing low-pressure perturbation. Northerly winds advect cooler maritime air, limiting insolation and capping daytime heating, while ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts cluster maxima between 10-12°C with modest spread due to varying cloud thickness and precipitation timing. Differentiation hinges on afternoon cloud breaks potentially pushing to 12°C (17.5%) versus intensified showers holding at 10°C; official station readings through evening will resolve amid typical March variability around 11°C averages.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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