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3月28日紐約市的最高溫度？

Market icon

3月28日紐約市的最高溫度？

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 31

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 31

42-43°F 33%

40-41°F 31%

44-45°F 15%

38-39°F 9%

Polymarket

$32,056 交易量

42-43°F 33%

40-41°F 31%

44-45°F 15%

38-39°F 9%

Polymarket

$32,056 交易量

華氏35度或以下

$2,715 交易量

1%

36-37°F

$3,079 交易量

3%

38-39°F

$3,174 交易量

9%

40-41°F

$2,211 交易量

31%

42-43°F

$2,591 交易量

33%

44-45°F

$1,969 交易量

15%

46-47°F

$3,362 交易量

4%

48-49°F

$2,212 交易量

1%

50-51°F

$1,461 交易量

1%

52-53°F

$1,198 交易量

1%

54°F或以上

$8,113 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts narrowly toward 42-43°F (34.5%) over 40-41°F (32.5%) for New York City's highest temperature on March 28, driven by the latest National Weather Service and ECMWF forecasts projecting peaks around 41-43°F under persistent northerly winds and mostly cloudy skies that curb solar heating. Differentiating factors include subtle model spreads—GFS ensembles lean slightly warmer with potential afternoon clearing, while cooler Euro runs emphasize overcast persistence and chilly air advection—against a climatological March average of 50°F now suppressed by recent Arctic outflow. Urban heat island effects could nudge readings higher by 1-2°F at Central Park's official station. Watch NOAA's noon forecast update and morning balloon soundings for shifts in boundary layer stability.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$32,056
結束日期
Mar 28, 2026
市場開放時間
Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts narrowly toward 42-43°F (34.5%) over 40-41°F (32.5%) for New York City's highest temperature on March 28, driven by the latest National Weather Service and ECMWF forecasts projecting peaks around 41-43°F under persistent northerly winds and mostly cloudy skies that curb solar heating. Differentiating factors include subtle model spreads—GFS ensembles lean slightly warmer with potential afternoon clearing, while cooler Euro runs emphasize overcast persistence and chilly air advection—against a climatological March average of 50°F now suppressed by recent Arctic outflow. Urban heat island effects could nudge readings higher by 1-2°F at Central Park's official station. Watch NOAA's noon forecast update and morning balloon soundings for shifts in boundary layer stability.

Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts narrowly toward 42-43°F (34.5%) over 40-41°F (32.5%) for New York City's highest temperature on March 28, driven by the latest National Weather Service and ECMWF forecasts projecting peaks around 41-43°F under persistent northerly winds and mostly cloudy skies that curb solar heating. Differentiating factors include subtle model spreads—GFS ensembles lean slightly warmer with potential afternoon clearing, while cooler Euro runs emphasize overcast persistence and chilly air advection—against a climatological March average of 50°F now suppressed by recent Arctic outflow. Urban heat island effects could nudge readings higher by 1-2°F at Central Park's official station. Watch NOAA's noon forecast update and morning balloon soundings for shifts in boundary layer stability.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"3月28日紐約市的最高溫度？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "42-43°F" at 33%, followed by "40-41°F" at 31%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 33¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 33% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "3月28日紐約市的最高溫度？" has generated $32.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "3月28日紐約市的最高溫度？," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "3月28日紐約市的最高溫度？" is "42-43°F" at 33%, meaning the market assigns a 33% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "40-41°F" at 31%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "3月28日紐約市的最高溫度？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.