Official observational data from Milano Linate Airport, the authoritative reference station for Milan weather records, confirms the highest temperature on March 28 reached exactly 16°C during afternoon hours under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome. This aligns with pre-event forecast model consensus from Italian meteorological services projecting maxima in the 15-17°C range amid mild spring conditions influenced by a weak high-pressure ridge over northern Italy. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty include rare post-processing revisions by the national weather service or discrepancies from non-official urban stations, though resolution criteria prioritize Linate measurements, rendering shifts improbable at this stage.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Milan on March 28?
Highest temperature in Milan on March 28?
16°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$57,912 交易量
$57,912 交易量
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$57,912 交易量
$57,912 交易量
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 24, 2026, 6:04 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official observational data from Milano Linate Airport, the authoritative reference station for Milan weather records, confirms the highest temperature on March 28 reached exactly 16°C during afternoon hours under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome. This aligns with pre-event forecast model consensus from Italian meteorological services projecting maxima in the 15-17°C range amid mild spring conditions influenced by a weak high-pressure ridge over northern Italy. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty include rare post-processing revisions by the national weather service or discrepancies from non-official urban stations, though resolution criteria prioritize Linate measurements, rendering shifts improbable at this stage.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
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