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Highest temperature in Miami on March 27?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Miami on March 27?

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

82-83°F 54%

80-81°F 27%

84-85°F 16%

78-79°F 2.1%

Polymarket

$58,036 交易量

82-83°F 54%

80-81°F 27%

84-85°F 16%

78-79°F 2.1%

Polymarket

$58,036 交易量

74-75°F

$4,362 交易量

<1%

76-77°F

$9,422 交易量

1%

78-79°F

$7,396 交易量

2%

80-81°F

$5,290 交易量

27%

82-83°F

$5,639 交易量

54%

84-85°F

$2,678 交易量

16%

86-87°F

$2,688 交易量

2%

88-89°F

$3,810 交易量

1%

90°F or higher

$1,978 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Miami high temperature of 82-83°F (53.5% implied probability) for March 27, driven by the latest National Weather Service (NWS) forecast models, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles, which converge on peaks in this range amid a strengthening upper-level ridge over Florida promoting subsidence and sunny skies. Sea surface temperatures around 78°F in the nearby Atlantic support warm advection via southerly winds at 10-15 mph, consistent with climatological norms for late March where daily highs average 81°F. Recent 12-hour model updates show minimal spread (±2°F), reducing odds for cooler 80-81°F (28.5%) or warmer 84-85°F (14.5%) outcomes, though diel timing of peak heating and any unexpected marine layer could shift this. NWS point forecasts will refresh by evening, potentially refining trader positions ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$58,036
結束日期
Mar 27, 2026
市場開放時間
Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Miami high temperature of 82-83°F (53.5% implied probability) for March 27, driven by the latest National Weather Service (NWS) forecast models, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles, which converge on peaks in this range amid a strengthening upper-level ridge over Florida promoting subsidence and sunny skies. Sea surface temperatures around 78°F in the nearby Atlantic support warm advection via southerly winds at 10-15 mph, consistent with climatological norms for late March where daily highs average 81°F. Recent 12-hour model updates show minimal spread (±2°F), reducing odds for cooler 80-81°F (28.5%) or warmer 84-85°F (14.5%) outcomes, though diel timing of peak heating and any unexpected marine layer could shift this. NWS point forecasts will refresh by evening, potentially refining trader positions ahead of resolution.

Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Miami high temperature of 82-83°F (53.5% implied probability) for March 27, driven by the latest National Weather Service (NWS) forecast models, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles, which converge on peaks in this range amid a strengthening upper-level ridge over Florida promoting subsidence and sunny skies. Sea surface temperatures around 78°F in the nearby Atlantic support warm advection via southerly winds at 10-15 mph, consistent with climatological norms for late March where daily highs average 81°F. Recent 12-hour model updates show minimal spread (±2°F), reducing odds for cooler 80-81°F (28.5%) or warmer 84-85°F (14.5%) outcomes, though diel timing of peak heating and any unexpected marine layer could shift this. NWS point forecasts will refresh by evening, potentially refining trader positions ahead of resolution.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Miami on March 27?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "82-83°F" at 54%, followed by "80-81°F" at 27%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 54¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest temperature in Miami on March 27?" has generated $58K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Miami on March 27?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Miami on March 27?" is "82-83°F" at 54%, meaning the market assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "80-81°F" at 27%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Miami on March 27?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.