Official AEMET observations confirm that the highest temperature in Madrid on April 14 reached 21°C, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome, with negligible volume on cooler scenarios like 15°C or below. This aligns with pre-event numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF and AEMET's own forecasts, which projected highs of 20–22°C under a stable high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, light westerly winds, and above-average insolation for mid-April—when climatological norms hover around 18°C. Observational data from key stations like Barajas and city centers validated these projections precisely. While final data audits are routine, significant revisions are rare absent sensor anomalies, solidifying the market's positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於4月14日馬德裏氣溫最高？
4月14日馬德裏氣溫最高？
21°C 100.0%
15°C或以下 <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$116,881 交易量
$116,881 交易量
2026-04-14
15°C或以下
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
是
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C或以上
否
21°C 100.0%
15°C或以下 <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$116,881 交易量
$116,881 交易量
2026-04-14
15°C或以下
$6,785 交易量
否
16°C
$2,098 交易量
否
17°C
$5,397 交易量
否
18°C
$7,956 交易量
否
19°C
$30,657 交易量
否
20°C
$13,195 交易量
否
21°C
$16,867 交易量
是
22°C
$12,335 交易量
否
23°C
$13,092 交易量
否
24°C
$5,183 交易量
否
25°C或以上
$3,317 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official AEMET observations confirm that the highest temperature in Madrid on April 14 reached 21°C, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome, with negligible volume on cooler scenarios like 15°C or below. This aligns with pre-event numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF and AEMET's own forecasts, which projected highs of 20–22°C under a stable high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, light westerly winds, and above-average insolation for mid-April—when climatological norms hover around 18°C. Observational data from key stations like Barajas and city centers validated these projections precisely. While final data audits are routine, significant revisions are rare absent sensor anomalies, solidifying the market's positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
交易量
$116,881結束日期
2026-04-14市場開放時間
Apr 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official AEMET observations confirm that the highest temperature in Madrid on April 14 reached 21°C, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome, with negligible volume on cooler scenarios like 15°C or below. This aligns with pre-event numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF and AEMET's own forecasts, which projected highs of 20–22°C under a stable high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, light westerly winds, and above-average insolation for mid-April—when climatological norms hover around 18°C. Observational data from key stations like Barajas and city centers validated these projections precisely. While final data audits are routine, significant revisions are rare absent sensor anomalies, solidifying the market's positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$116,881結束日期
2026-04-14市場開放時間
Apr 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official AEMET observations confirm that the highest temperature in Madrid on April 14 reached 21°C, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome, with negligible volume on cooler scenarios like 15°C or below. This aligns with pre-event numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF and AEMET's own forecasts, which projected highs of 20–22°C under a stable high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, light westerly winds, and above-average insolation for mid-April—when climatological norms hover around 18°C. Observational data from key stations like Barajas and city centers validated these projections precisely. While final data audits are routine, significant revisions are rare absent sensor anomalies, solidifying the market's positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions