Official observations from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport weather station, the market's resolution source via Wunderground, confirm the highest temperature on April 18, 2026, peaked at 30°C (86°F) around 4-5 p.m. local time under partly cloudy conditions, solidifying trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with springtime climatology in the Sichuan Basin, where April highs typically range 20-28°C amid rising solar insolation and occasional warm air advection, though forecasts had hinted at slightly higher potential up to 31°C. Realistic challenges would require rare post-finalization revisions to station data or overlooked late-day readings exceeding 30°C, but current finalized hourly records show no such exceedance, with temperatures dropping post-peak. Traders await Wunderground's official daily summary for closure.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 18?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 18?
30°C 100.0%
31°C <1%
32°C or higher <1%
$82,483 交易量
$82,483 交易量
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
30°C 100.0%
31°C <1%
32°C or higher <1%
$82,483 交易量
$82,483 交易量
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Official observations from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport weather station, the market's resolution source via Wunderground, confirm the highest temperature on April 18, 2026, peaked at 30°C (86°F) around 4-5 p.m. local time under partly cloudy conditions, solidifying trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with springtime climatology in the Sichuan Basin, where April highs typically range 20-28°C amid rising solar insolation and occasional warm air advection, though forecasts had hinted at slightly higher potential up to 31°C. Realistic challenges would require rare post-finalization revisions to station data or overlooked late-day readings exceeding 30°C, but current finalized hourly records show no such exceedance, with temperatures dropping post-peak. Traders await Wunderground's official daily summary for closure.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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