3月26日達拉斯的最高溫度？

Name: 3月26日達拉斯的最高溫度？
Start: 2026-03-22T10:13:54.201Z
End: 2026-03-26T12:00:00.000Z

3月26日達拉斯的最高溫度？

Mar 26

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 26

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

86-87°F 42%

88-89°F 34%

84-85°F 24%

90-91°F 6.2%

$42,901 交易量

Mar 26, 2026

華氏79度或以下

$6,422 交易量

<1%

80-81°F

$4,573 交易量

<1%

82-83°F

$4,343 交易量

84-85°F

$3,236 交易量

24%

86-87°F

$3,289 交易量

42%

88-89°F

$2,760 交易量

34%

90-91°F

$4,693 交易量

92-93°F

$3,741 交易量

94-95°F

$5,460 交易量

96-97°F

$2,967 交易量

<1%

98°F或更高

$1,417 交易量

<1%

86-87°F 42%

88-89°F 34%

84-85°F 24%

90-91°F 6.2%

$42,901 交易量

Mar 26, 2026

華氏79度或以下

$6,422 交易量

<1%

80-81°F

$4,573 交易量

<1%

82-83°F

$4,343 交易量

84-85°F

$3,236 交易量

24%

86-87°F

$3,289 交易量

42%

88-89°F

$2,760 交易量

34%

90-91°F

$4,693 交易量

92-93°F

$3,741 交易量

94-95°F

$5,460 交易量

96-97°F

$2,967 交易量

<1%

98°F或更高

$1,417 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Latest National Weather Service forecasts and NOAA model ensembles project Dallas highs of 86-89°F on March 26, fueling trader consensus with 40% implied probability for 86-87°F and 33.5% for 88-89°F amid close competition from 84-85°F at 22%. A building upper-level ridge over the southern Plains is steering warm, dry air from Mexico northward, paired with surface high pressure ensuring mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and peak solar heating. Scientific uncertainty stems from model divergences in afternoon boundary layer depths and potential thin cirrus clouds, which could limit peaks lower or enable slight overshoots toward 90°F+. Updated 12z GFS and European model runs later today will likely sharpen these odds.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於 Mar 26, 2026, 1:49 PM UTC

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"3月26日達拉斯的最高溫度？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "86-87°F" at 42%, followed by "88-89°F" at 34%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 42¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "3月26日達拉斯的最高溫度？" has generated $42.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 22, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "3月26日達拉斯的最高溫度？," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "3月26日達拉斯的最高溫度？" is "86-87°F" at 42%, meaning the market assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "88-89°F" at 34%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "3月26日達拉斯的最高溫度？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "3月26日達拉斯的最高溫度？." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $42.9K traded on “3月26日達拉斯的最高溫度？,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "3月26日達拉斯的最高溫度？," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 42¢ for "86-87°F" in the "3月26日達拉斯的最高溫度？" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 42% chance that "86-87°F" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 42¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 58¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "3月26日達拉斯的最高溫度？" market's scheduled end date has passed, but the market has not yet been officially resolved. The end date indicates when the underlying event is expected to occur or become knowable. It is not the moment trading stops. The market remains open for trading until the outcome is formally resolved through the resolution process. You can still buy, sell, or close your position while the market is pending resolution. Check the resolution status tracker and "Rules" section on this page for updates on the resolution timeline.

The "3月26日達拉斯的最高溫度？" market has an active community of 117 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "3月26日達拉斯的最高溫度？." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

3月26日達拉斯的最高溫度？

3月26日達拉斯的最高溫度？

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評論 (117)

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Frequently Asked Questions

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What does a price of 42¢ for "86-87°F" mean?

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