Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at Aeroparque Jorge Newbery station confirm a maximum temperature of 27°C in Buenos Aires on March 29, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for that outcome. Cloudy skies, morning fog, and scattered showers—intensified by a passing frontal system—limited solar heating despite pre-event forecasts suggesting potential highs near 30°C, aligning with typical late-autumn variability influenced by southerly winds and high humidity. This positioning reflects verified hourly data showing peaks in early afternoon before cooling under overcast conditions. Scenarios challenging it, such as data revisions from quality control or alternate station discrepancies (e.g., Ezeiza), are improbable given SMN's rigorous protocols, with final bulletins expected soon.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 29?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 29?
27°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$186,132 交易量
$186,132 交易量
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$186,132 交易量
$186,132 交易量
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at Aeroparque Jorge Newbery station confirm a maximum temperature of 27°C in Buenos Aires on March 29, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for that outcome. Cloudy skies, morning fog, and scattered showers—intensified by a passing frontal system—limited solar heating despite pre-event forecasts suggesting potential highs near 30°C, aligning with typical late-autumn variability influenced by southerly winds and high humidity. This positioning reflects verified hourly data showing peaks in early afternoon before cooling under overcast conditions. Scenarios challenging it, such as data revisions from quality control or alternate station discrepancies (e.g., Ezeiza), are improbable given SMN's rigorous protocols, with final bulletins expected soon.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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