Argentina's overwhelming 76.5% implied probability as Group J winner stems from their status as 2022 title holders, No. 2 FIFA ranking, and dominant CONMEBOL qualifying campaign under Lionel Scaloni, bolstered by recent friendlies including a 2-0 win over Angola and a strong showing against Mauritania on March 27. Austria holds 16.5% as the clear second-favorite after topping their UEFA qualifying group and a convincing 5-1 friendly victory over Ghana last Friday, despite a Nations League playoff exit to Serbia earlier in March. Algeria's 7.1% reflects their solid African qualifying but lower No. 35 ranking and historical struggles against elite opposition, while debutants Jordan lag at 1.1% amid their No. 66 position and first-time status. Trader consensus prices in Argentina's talent edge and home-like support in U.S. venues ahead of June fixtures.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於阿根廷 77%
奧地利 16%
阿爾及利亞 7.2%
約旦 1.0%
$30,741 交易量
$30,741 交易量
阿根廷
77%
奧地利
16%
阿爾及利亞
7%
約旦
1%
阿根廷 77%
奧地利 16%
阿爾及利亞 7.2%
約旦 1.0%
$30,741 交易量
$30,741 交易量
阿根廷
77%
奧地利
16%
阿爾及利亞
7%
約旦
1%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Argentina's overwhelming 76.5% implied probability as Group J winner stems from their status as 2022 title holders, No. 2 FIFA ranking, and dominant CONMEBOL qualifying campaign under Lionel Scaloni, bolstered by recent friendlies including a 2-0 win over Angola and a strong showing against Mauritania on March 27. Austria holds 16.5% as the clear second-favorite after topping their UEFA qualifying group and a convincing 5-1 friendly victory over Ghana last Friday, despite a Nations League playoff exit to Serbia earlier in March. Algeria's 7.1% reflects their solid African qualifying but lower No. 35 ranking and historical struggles against elite opposition, while debutants Jordan lag at 1.1% amid their No. 66 position and first-time status. Trader consensus prices in Argentina's talent edge and home-like support in U.S. venues ahead of June fixtures.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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