Spain's 80.5% implied probability to win Group H reflects their world No. 2 FIFA ranking, recent Nations League quarterfinal advancement via penalty shootout over Netherlands (aggregate 5-5, March 23), and depth with stars like Lamine Yamal and Pedri, positioning them as clear favorites post-final draw completion last week. Uruguay's 16% trader consensus acknowledges their strong CONMEBOL qualifying finish and South American pedigree, bolstered by Darwin Núñez and Federico Valverde, though facing Spain's firepower. Saudi Arabia (2.4%) and debutants Cape Verde (2.3%, No. 69 ranked) linger as longshots amid vast ranking gaps (Saudi No. 61), with no major injuries—Spain's Fábian Ruiz recovering from knee issue, Nico Williams resuming training—altering sentiment in the past 48 hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於西班牙 81%
烏拉圭 16%
佛得角 2.4%
沙烏地阿拉伯 2.4%
$70,500 交易量
$70,500 交易量
西班牙
81%
烏拉圭
16%
佛得角
2%
沙烏地阿拉伯
2%
西班牙 81%
烏拉圭 16%
佛得角 2.4%
沙烏地阿拉伯 2.4%
$70,500 交易量
$70,500 交易量
西班牙
81%
烏拉圭
16%
佛得角
2%
沙烏地阿拉伯
2%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain's 80.5% implied probability to win Group H reflects their world No. 2 FIFA ranking, recent Nations League quarterfinal advancement via penalty shootout over Netherlands (aggregate 5-5, March 23), and depth with stars like Lamine Yamal and Pedri, positioning them as clear favorites post-final draw completion last week. Uruguay's 16% trader consensus acknowledges their strong CONMEBOL qualifying finish and South American pedigree, bolstered by Darwin Núñez and Federico Valverde, though facing Spain's firepower. Saudi Arabia (2.4%) and debutants Cape Verde (2.3%, No. 69 ranked) linger as longshots amid vast ranking gaps (Saudi No. 61), with no major injuries—Spain's Fábian Ruiz recovering from knee issue, Nico Williams resuming training—altering sentiment in the past 48 hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions