Market icon
運動·FIFA

世界杯比賽從墨西哥遷出？

Market icon
運動·FIFA

世界杯比賽從墨西哥遷出？

是

5% 機率
Polymarket

$114,096 交易量

是

5% 機率
Polymarket

$114,096 交易量

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that any 2026 FIFA World Cup match originally scheduled to be held in Mexico will be relocated to a location outside of Mexico by June 10, 2026, 11:59 ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement will immediately resolve the market to "Yes" regardless of whether the relocation is later revoked. The resolution source will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certain 95.5% implied probability against relocating any 2026 FIFA World Cup matches from Mexico venues, bolstered by FIFA President Gianni Infantino's recent Mexico visit and the successful reinauguration of Estadio Azteca—confirmed for the June 11 opener—signaling operational readiness amid prior cartel violence concerns. Earlier February unrest in Jalisco near Estadio Akron prompted FIFA's firm no-relocation statement and temporary league suspensions, but recent CONCACAF playoff fixtures in Guadalajara and Monterrey proceeded without disruption, easing security fears. Mexico's ramped-up measures and rejection of unrelated requests, like Iran's to shift U.S. games there, reinforce stability. Only a major escalation in violence or unprecedented incidents could prompt FIFA review before the expanded 48-team tournament across North American host nations.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that any 2026 FIFA World Cup match originally scheduled to be held in Mexico will be relocated to a location outside of Mexico by June 10, 2026, 11:59 ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying announcement will immediately resolve the market to "Yes" regardless of whether the relocation is later revoked.

The resolution source will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$114,096
結束日期
2026-06-10
市場開放時間
Feb 22, 2026, 7:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that any 2026 FIFA World Cup match originally scheduled to be held in Mexico will be relocated to a location outside of Mexico by June 10, 2026, 11:59 ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement will immediately resolve the market to "Yes" regardless of whether the relocation is later revoked. The resolution source will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that any 2026 FIFA World Cup match originally scheduled to be held in Mexico will be relocated to a location outside of Mexico by June 10, 2026, 11:59 ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement will immediately resolve the market to "Yes" regardless of whether the relocation is later revoked. The resolution source will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certain 95.5% implied probability against relocating any 2026 FIFA World Cup matches from Mexico venues, bolstered by FIFA President Gianni Infantino's recent Mexico visit and the successful reinauguration of Estadio Azteca—confirmed for the June 11 opener—signaling operational readiness amid prior cartel violence concerns. Earlier February unrest in Jalisco near Estadio Akron prompted FIFA's firm no-relocation statement and temporary league suspensions, but recent CONCACAF playoff fixtures in Guadalajara and Monterrey proceeded without disruption, easing security fears. Mexico's ramped-up measures and rejection of unrelated requests, like Iran's to shift U.S. games there, reinforce stability. Only a major escalation in violence or unprecedented incidents could prompt FIFA review before the expanded 48-team tournament across North American host nations.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that any 2026 FIFA World Cup match originally scheduled to be held in Mexico will be relocated to a location outside of Mexico by June 10, 2026, 11:59 ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying announcement will immediately resolve the market to "Yes" regardless of whether the relocation is later revoked.

The resolution source will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$114,096
結束日期
2026-06-10
市場開放時間
Feb 22, 2026, 7:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that any 2026 FIFA World Cup match originally scheduled to be held in Mexico will be relocated to a location outside of Mexico by June 10, 2026, 11:59 ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement will immediately resolve the market to "Yes" regardless of whether the relocation is later revoked. The resolution source will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

" 世界杯比賽從墨西哥遷出？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "世界盃比賽從墨西哥移師他地？" at 5%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 5¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 5% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, " 世界杯比賽從墨西哥遷出？" has generated $114.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on " 世界杯比賽從墨西哥遷出？," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for " 世界杯比賽從墨西哥遷出？" is "世界盃比賽從墨西哥移師他地？" at just 5%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for " 世界杯比賽從墨西哥遷出？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.