France holds a commanding 70.5% implied probability as Group I winner at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, driven by their top-tier FIFA ranking, unmatched squad depth featuring Kylian Mbappé and recent deep tournament runs including the 2022 final. Norway's 20% trader consensus reflects Erling Haaland and Martin Ødegaard's goal-scoring prowess alongside a strong UEFA qualifying campaign, positioning them as credible challengers for second. Senegal at 9% benefits from defending Africa Cup of Nations form and talents like Sadio Mané, though defensive vulnerabilities temper expectations. Iraq's slim 2.4% odds persist despite their March 31 playoff triumph securing the spot, underscoring their underdog status against elite competition in the expanded 48-team format. No major injuries or friendlies have shifted sentiment in the past week.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於法國 71%
挪威 20%
塞內加爾 9%
BOL/IRQ/SUR 2.4%
$84,329 交易量
$84,329 交易量
法國
71%
挪威
20%
塞內加爾
9%
BOL/IRQ/SUR
2%
法國 71%
挪威 20%
塞內加爾 9%
BOL/IRQ/SUR 2.4%
$84,329 交易量
$84,329 交易量
法國
71%
挪威
20%
塞內加爾
9%
BOL/IRQ/SUR
2%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...France holds a commanding 70.5% implied probability as Group I winner at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, driven by their top-tier FIFA ranking, unmatched squad depth featuring Kylian Mbappé and recent deep tournament runs including the 2022 final. Norway's 20% trader consensus reflects Erling Haaland and Martin Ødegaard's goal-scoring prowess alongside a strong UEFA qualifying campaign, positioning them as credible challengers for second. Senegal at 9% benefits from defending Africa Cup of Nations form and talents like Sadio Mané, though defensive vulnerabilities temper expectations. Iraq's slim 2.4% odds persist despite their March 31 playoff triumph securing the spot, underscoring their underdog status against elite competition in the expanded 48-team format. No major injuries or friendlies have shifted sentiment in the past week.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions