France holds a commanding 70.5% trader consensus to win FIFA World Cup 2026 Group I, bolstered by their world No. 1 FIFA ranking, elite squad depth featuring Kylian Mbappé, and consistent group-stage dominance in recent tournaments like their 2022 runner-up finish. Norway trails at 20% implied probability, fueled by Erling Haaland's goal-scoring prowess and their potent UEFA qualifying campaign, positioning them as a realistic top-two contender alongside Senegal at 9%. Iraq's dramatic 2-1 playoff victory over Bolivia two days ago finalized the group—now featuring France, Norway, Senegal, and the long-shot Iraq, absent since 1986—but reinforces the underdogs' slim 0.5% odds within the BOL/IRQ/SUR category, as traders prioritize the established powerhouses' superior form, head-to-head edges, and path to group leadership amid the tournament's expanded format where top two plus best thirds advance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於法國 71%
挪威 20%
塞內加爾 9%
BOL/IRQ/SUR 2.4%
$83,972 交易量
$83,972 交易量
法國
71%
挪威
20%
塞內加爾
9%
BOL/IRQ/SUR
2%
法國 71%
挪威 20%
塞內加爾 9%
BOL/IRQ/SUR 2.4%
$83,972 交易量
$83,972 交易量
法國
71%
挪威
20%
塞內加爾
9%
BOL/IRQ/SUR
2%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...France holds a commanding 70.5% trader consensus to win FIFA World Cup 2026 Group I, bolstered by their world No. 1 FIFA ranking, elite squad depth featuring Kylian Mbappé, and consistent group-stage dominance in recent tournaments like their 2022 runner-up finish. Norway trails at 20% implied probability, fueled by Erling Haaland's goal-scoring prowess and their potent UEFA qualifying campaign, positioning them as a realistic top-two contender alongside Senegal at 9%. Iraq's dramatic 2-1 playoff victory over Bolivia two days ago finalized the group—now featuring France, Norway, Senegal, and the long-shot Iraq, absent since 1986—but reinforces the underdogs' slim 0.5% odds within the BOL/IRQ/SUR category, as traders prioritize the established powerhouses' superior form, head-to-head edges, and path to group leadership amid the tournament's expanded format where top two plus best thirds advance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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