Market icon

FIFA世界杯第一組冠軍

Market icon

FIFA世界杯第一組冠軍

法國 71%

挪威 20%

塞內加爾 9%

BOL/IRQ/SUR 2.4%

Polymarket

$84,329 交易量

法國 71%

挪威 20%

塞內加爾 9%

BOL/IRQ/SUR 2.4%

Polymarket

$84,329 交易量

法國

$24,197 交易量

71%

挪威

$8,873 交易量

20%

塞內加爾

$11,124 交易量

9%

BOL/IRQ/SUR

$40,135 交易量

2%

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France holds a commanding 70.5% implied probability as Group I winner at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, driven by their top-tier FIFA ranking, unmatched squad depth featuring Kylian Mbappé and recent deep tournament runs including the 2022 final. Norway's 20% trader consensus reflects Erling Haaland and Martin Ødegaard's goal-scoring prowess alongside a strong UEFA qualifying campaign, positioning them as credible challengers for second. Senegal at 9% benefits from defending Africa Cup of Nations form and talents like Sadio Mané, though defensive vulnerabilities temper expectations. Iraq's slim 2.4% odds persist despite their March 31 playoff triumph securing the spot, underscoring their underdog status against elite competition in the expanded 48-team format. No major injuries or friendlies have shifted sentiment in the past week.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.

If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$84,329
結束日期
2026-06-27
市場開放時間
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France holds a commanding 70.5% implied probability as Group I winner at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, driven by their top-tier FIFA ranking, unmatched squad depth featuring Kylian Mbappé and recent deep tournament runs including the 2022 final. Norway's 20% trader consensus reflects Erling Haaland and Martin Ødegaard's goal-scoring prowess alongside a strong UEFA qualifying campaign, positioning them as credible challengers for second. Senegal at 9% benefits from defending Africa Cup of Nations form and talents like Sadio Mané, though defensive vulnerabilities temper expectations. Iraq's slim 2.4% odds persist despite their March 31 playoff triumph securing the spot, underscoring their underdog status against elite competition in the expanded 48-team format. No major injuries or friendlies have shifted sentiment in the past week.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.

If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$84,329
結束日期
2026-06-27
市場開放時間
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"FIFA世界杯第一組冠軍" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "法國" at 71%, followed by "挪威" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 71¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 71% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "FIFA世界杯第一組冠軍" has generated $84.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "FIFA世界杯第一組冠軍," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "FIFA世界杯第一組冠軍" is "法國" at 71%, meaning the market assigns a 71% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "挪威" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "FIFA世界杯第一組冠軍" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.