Trader consensus prices Germany at 71% implied probability to win Group E, reflecting their UEFA pedigree as four-time World Cup champions, superior FIFA ranking, and attacking depth despite a March injury crisis sidelining Jamal Musiala, Aleksandar Pavlovic, and Felix Nmecha during friendlies—including a high-scoring 4-3 victory over Switzerland that exposed defensive vulnerabilities. Ecuador's 21.5% share stems from their gritty second-place CONMEBOL qualifying finish behind Argentina, powered by a golden generation of young stars and resilient form with eight wins and eight draws. Ivory Coast (7.3%) gains from recent African success and talent resurgence after a 12-year absence, while Curaçao (1.8%) trails as Concacaf playoff qualifiers with limited group-stage experience; the full 48-team field confirmation two days ago solidified these dynamics ahead of the June kickoff.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於德國 71%
厄瓜多 22%
象牙海岸 7.3%
庫拉索 1.4%
$18,126 交易量
$18,126 交易量
德國
71%
厄瓜多
22%
象牙海岸
7%
庫拉索
1%
德國 71%
厄瓜多 22%
象牙海岸 7.3%
庫拉索 1.4%
$18,126 交易量
$18,126 交易量
德國
71%
厄瓜多
22%
象牙海岸
7%
庫拉索
1%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Germany at 71% implied probability to win Group E, reflecting their UEFA pedigree as four-time World Cup champions, superior FIFA ranking, and attacking depth despite a March injury crisis sidelining Jamal Musiala, Aleksandar Pavlovic, and Felix Nmecha during friendlies—including a high-scoring 4-3 victory over Switzerland that exposed defensive vulnerabilities. Ecuador's 21.5% share stems from their gritty second-place CONMEBOL qualifying finish behind Argentina, powered by a golden generation of young stars and resilient form with eight wins and eight draws. Ivory Coast (7.3%) gains from recent African success and talent resurgence after a 12-year absence, while Curaçao (1.8%) trails as Concacaf playoff qualifiers with limited group-stage experience; the full 48-team field confirmation two days ago solidified these dynamics ahead of the June kickoff.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions