Trader consensus favors Netherlands at 55.5% to win Group F, reflecting their No. 7 FIFA ranking, deep squad with Virgil van Dijk, Frenkie de Jong, and Cody Gakpo, plus dominant European qualifying campaign and historical World Cup group-topping record. Japan holds 27.0% implied probability after boosting momentum with recent Kirin World Challenge victories—1-0 over Scotland and a historic 1-0 upset at Wembley against England via Kaoru Mitoma's goal—highlighting their pacey attack and European-based talent like Takehiro Tomiyasu. The European playoff winner (Sweden, who advanced 3-2 over Poland yesterday) carries 16.0%, signaling competitive threat from mid-tier UEFA strength amid path uncertainty. Tunisia trails at 3.3% despite a flawless African qualifying run with nine wins, one draw, and 10 clean sheets, as their lower ranking limits top-spot prospects.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於荷蘭 55%
日本 27%
阿爾巴尼亞/波蘭/瑞典/烏克蘭 16%
突尼西亞 3.0%
$41,713 交易量
$41,713 交易量
荷蘭
55%
日本
27%
阿爾巴尼亞/波蘭/瑞典/烏克蘭
16%
突尼西亞
3%
荷蘭 55%
日本 27%
阿爾巴尼亞/波蘭/瑞典/烏克蘭 16%
突尼西亞 3.0%
$41,713 交易量
$41,713 交易量
荷蘭
55%
日本
27%
阿爾巴尼亞/波蘭/瑞典/烏克蘭
16%
突尼西亞
3%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Netherlands at 55.5% to win Group F, reflecting their No. 7 FIFA ranking, deep squad with Virgil van Dijk, Frenkie de Jong, and Cody Gakpo, plus dominant European qualifying campaign and historical World Cup group-topping record. Japan holds 27.0% implied probability after boosting momentum with recent Kirin World Challenge victories—1-0 over Scotland and a historic 1-0 upset at Wembley against England via Kaoru Mitoma's goal—highlighting their pacey attack and European-based talent like Takehiro Tomiyasu. The European playoff winner (Sweden, who advanced 3-2 over Poland yesterday) carries 16.0%, signaling competitive threat from mid-tier UEFA strength amid path uncertainty. Tunisia trails at 3.3% despite a flawless African qualifying run with nine wins, one draw, and 10 clean sheets, as their lower ranking limits top-spot prospects.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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