Israel's commanding 35.5% implied probability as Eurovision 2026 televote frontrunner stems from its unchallenged diaspora voting power and back-to-back televote triumphs, including Eden Golan's 2024 #1 finish despite jury backlash, fueling trader confidence in repeat mobilization. Greece at 19.5% benefits from potent Balkan voting alliances and Marina Satti's 2024 buzz, while Finland's 16.5% reflects lingering Käärijä mania from 2023's near-win, with Nordic fanbases primed for high-energy entries. Early national selection whispers and pre-2025 contest hype have sharpened these odds, though the 2025 Basel outcome will dictate 2026 hosting and shift dynamics amid unpredictable fan surges.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Israel 35%
Greece 19%
Finland 16%
Sweden 6.5%
$718,876 交易量
$718,876 交易量

Israel
35%

Greece
19%

Finland
16%

Sweden
7%

France
4%

Moldova
3%

Poland
3%

Cyprus
3%

Ukraine
3%

Denmark
2%

Switzerland
2%

Luxembourg
2%

Italy
1%

Malta
1%

Estonia
1%

Australia
1%

Azerbaijan
1%

Belgium
1%

Croatia
1%

Romania
1%

Bulgaria
1%

Czechia
1%

Germany
1%

Norway
1%

Lithuania
<1%

United Kingdom
<1%

Latvia
<1%

Serbia
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Albania
<1%

Austria
<1%

Georgia
<1%

Montenegro
<1%

San Marino
<1%
Israel 35%
Greece 19%
Finland 16%
Sweden 6.5%
$718,876 交易量
$718,876 交易量

Israel
35%

Greece
19%

Finland
16%

Sweden
7%

France
4%

Moldova
3%

Poland
3%

Cyprus
3%

Ukraine
3%

Denmark
2%

Switzerland
2%

Luxembourg
2%

Italy
1%

Malta
1%

Estonia
1%

Australia
1%

Azerbaijan
1%

Belgium
1%

Croatia
1%

Romania
1%

Bulgaria
1%

Czechia
1%

Germany
1%

Norway
1%

Lithuania
<1%

United Kingdom
<1%

Latvia
<1%

Serbia
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Albania
<1%

Austria
<1%

Georgia
<1%

Montenegro
<1%

San Marino
<1%
This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市場開放時間: Mar 19, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Israel's commanding 35.5% implied probability as Eurovision 2026 televote frontrunner stems from its unchallenged diaspora voting power and back-to-back televote triumphs, including Eden Golan's 2024 #1 finish despite jury backlash, fueling trader confidence in repeat mobilization. Greece at 19.5% benefits from potent Balkan voting alliances and Marina Satti's 2024 buzz, while Finland's 16.5% reflects lingering Käärijä mania from 2023's near-win, with Nordic fanbases primed for high-energy entries. Early national selection whispers and pre-2025 contest hype have sharpened these odds, though the 2025 Basel outcome will dictate 2026 hosting and shift dynamics amid unpredictable fan surges.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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