Aaron Judge holds a slim edge in trader consensus at 25% implied probability for the 2026 AL Hank Aaron Award, fueled by his league-leading 8 home runs and 14 RBIs through 18 games despite a .236 batting average, including a solo homer on April 15. Gunnar Henderson trails closely at 22% with 6 homers and matching 14 RBIs, his power surge compensating for a .213 average and affirming his breakout pedigree. Yordan Alvarez ties Judge's homer total while Bobby Witt Jr. posts a .263 average with speed upside, keeping the race bunched amid early-season small-sample volatility; with 144 games left, health, lineup protection, and schedule strength could reshape the offensive leader board reflected in these skin-in-the-game probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於亞倫·賈吉 28.3%
Gunnar Henderson 15%
尤爾丹·阿爾瓦雷斯 14%
Bobby Witt Jr. 14%
亞倫·賈吉
28%
Gunnar Henderson
15%
尤爾丹·阿爾瓦雷斯
14%
Bobby Witt Jr.
14%
卡爾·羅利
12%
José Ramírez
7%
胡利奧·羅德里格斯
6%
弗拉迪米爾·格雷羅二世
6%
尼克·柯茲
6%
Corey Seager
5%
亞倫·賈吉 28.3%
Gunnar Henderson 15%
尤爾丹·阿爾瓦雷斯 14%
Bobby Witt Jr. 14%
亞倫·賈吉
28%
Gunnar Henderson
15%
尤爾丹·阿爾瓦雷斯
14%
Bobby Witt Jr.
14%
卡爾·羅利
12%
José Ramírez
7%
胡利奧·羅德里格斯
6%
弗拉迪米爾·格雷羅二世
6%
尼克·柯茲
6%
Corey Seager
5%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Feb 19, 2026, 2:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Aaron Judge holds a slim edge in trader consensus at 25% implied probability for the 2026 AL Hank Aaron Award, fueled by his league-leading 8 home runs and 14 RBIs through 18 games despite a .236 batting average, including a solo homer on April 15. Gunnar Henderson trails closely at 22% with 6 homers and matching 14 RBIs, his power surge compensating for a .213 average and affirming his breakout pedigree. Yordan Alvarez ties Judge's homer total while Bobby Witt Jr. posts a .263 average with speed upside, keeping the race bunched amid early-season small-sample volatility; with 144 games left, health, lineup protection, and schedule strength could reshape the offensive leader board reflected in these skin-in-the-game probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions