Israel's commanding 37.5% implied probability as Eurovision 2026 televote winner stems from its consistent dominance in public voting, fueled by a massive global diaspora and high-energy entries like Eden Golan's 2024 runner-up finish, where it topped the televote despite jury backlash. Greece at 18% benefits from Balkan voting alliances and polished pop ballads, echoing Marina Satti's strong 2024 showing, while Finland's 15% reflects its party-anthem pedigree post-Käärijä's 2023 televote surge. Trader sentiment has sharpened with early national selection announcements—Israel's Kan and Greece's ERT unveiling processes—plus bookie odds mirroring these trends amid pre-2025 hype, though host nation and geopolitical tensions could shift dynamics before entries solidify.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Israel 38%
Greece 18%
Finland 15%
France 6.3%
$493,338 交易量
$493,338 交易量

Israel
38%

Greece
18%

Finland
15%

France
6%

Denmark
5%

Poland
4%

Moldova
3%

Ukraine
3%

Sweden
2%

Italy
2%

Belgium
1%

Azerbaijan
1%

Estonia
1%

Switzerland
1%

Romania
1%

Malta
1%

Croatia
1%

Germany
1%

Bulgaria
1%

United Kingdom
1%

Norway
1%

Latvia
<1%

Czechia
<1%

Serbia
<1%

Albania
<1%

Cyprus
<1%

Georgia
<1%

Lithuania
<1%

Luxembourg
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Austria
<1%

Montenegro
<1%

Australia
<1%

San Marino
<1%
Israel 38%
Greece 18%
Finland 15%
France 6.3%
$493,338 交易量
$493,338 交易量

Israel
38%

Greece
18%

Finland
15%

France
6%

Denmark
5%

Poland
4%

Moldova
3%

Ukraine
3%

Sweden
2%

Italy
2%

Belgium
1%

Azerbaijan
1%

Estonia
1%

Switzerland
1%

Romania
1%

Malta
1%

Croatia
1%

Germany
1%

Bulgaria
1%

United Kingdom
1%

Norway
1%

Latvia
<1%

Czechia
<1%

Serbia
<1%

Albania
<1%

Cyprus
<1%

Georgia
<1%

Lithuania
<1%

Luxembourg
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Austria
<1%

Montenegro
<1%

Australia
<1%

San Marino
<1%
This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市場開放時間: Mar 19, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Israel's commanding 37.5% implied probability as Eurovision 2026 televote winner stems from its consistent dominance in public voting, fueled by a massive global diaspora and high-energy entries like Eden Golan's 2024 runner-up finish, where it topped the televote despite jury backlash. Greece at 18% benefits from Balkan voting alliances and polished pop ballads, echoing Marina Satti's strong 2024 showing, while Finland's 15% reflects its party-anthem pedigree post-Käärijä's 2023 televote surge. Trader sentiment has sharpened with early national selection announcements—Israel's Kan and Greece's ERT unveiling processes—plus bookie odds mirroring these trends amid pre-2025 hype, though host nation and geopolitical tensions could shift dynamics before entries solidify.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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