Israel's commanding 34% implied probability in the Eurovision 2026 televote market stems from its proven diaspora-driven voting power, as seen in Eden Golan's near-top televote finish in 2024 despite geopolitical tensions boosting fan sympathy. Greece trails at 20% on upbeat pop entries and strong Balkan/Nordic appeal, while Finland's 15% reflects lingering momentum from Käärijä's 2023 televote dominance and metal-pop hybrid potential. Lower odds for France and Denmark highlight jury-televote splits in recent contests, with the field wide-open absent confirmed entries—national selections kicking off soon could shift dynamics amid unpredictable staging and live performance buzz. Traders eye diaspora blocs and viral hooks as key differentiators in this early, volatile market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Israel 34%
Greece 20%
Finland 15%
France 6.7%
$489,526 交易量
$489,526 交易量

Israel
34%

Greece
20%

Finland
15%

France
7%

Denmark
6%

Ukraine
4%

Poland
4%

Moldova
3%

Sweden
3%

Italy
3%

Switzerland
2%

Croatia
1%

Romania
1%

Estonia
1%

Azerbaijan
1%

Belgium
1%

Malta
1%

Lithuania
1%

Bulgaria
1%

Germany
1%

Latvia
1%

United Kingdom
1%

Serbia
<1%

Czechia
<1%

Norway
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Albania
<1%

Cyprus
<1%

Georgia
<1%

Montenegro
<1%

Luxembourg
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Austria
<1%

Australia
<1%

San Marino
<1%
Israel 34%
Greece 20%
Finland 15%
France 6.7%
$489,526 交易量
$489,526 交易量

Israel
34%

Greece
20%

Finland
15%

France
7%

Denmark
6%

Ukraine
4%

Poland
4%

Moldova
3%

Sweden
3%

Italy
3%

Switzerland
2%

Croatia
1%

Romania
1%

Estonia
1%

Azerbaijan
1%

Belgium
1%

Malta
1%

Lithuania
1%

Bulgaria
1%

Germany
1%

Latvia
1%

United Kingdom
1%

Serbia
<1%

Czechia
<1%

Norway
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Albania
<1%

Cyprus
<1%

Georgia
<1%

Montenegro
<1%

Luxembourg
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Austria
<1%

Australia
<1%

San Marino
<1%
This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市場開放時間: Mar 19, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Israel's commanding 34% implied probability in the Eurovision 2026 televote market stems from its proven diaspora-driven voting power, as seen in Eden Golan's near-top televote finish in 2024 despite geopolitical tensions boosting fan sympathy. Greece trails at 20% on upbeat pop entries and strong Balkan/Nordic appeal, while Finland's 15% reflects lingering momentum from Käärijä's 2023 televote dominance and metal-pop hybrid potential. Lower odds for France and Denmark highlight jury-televote splits in recent contests, with the field wide-open absent confirmed entries—national selections kicking off soon could shift dynamics amid unpredictable staging and live performance buzz. Traders eye diaspora blocs and viral hooks as key differentiators in this early, volatile market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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