Israel's frontrunner status at 33% implied probability in the Eurovision 2026 televote winner market stems from its consistent televote dominance, exemplified by Eden Golan's runner-up finish in 2024 fueled by massive diaspora blocs across Europe and beyond, positioning it as the safest bet in a pre-selection field. Greece trails at 18.5% thanks to Mediterranean pop hooks and fan fervor seen in Marina Satti's strong 2024 showing, while Finland's 11% reflects Nordic party anthems from UMK standouts like Erika Vikman. Lower tiers like Denmark and France hinge on upcoming national finals, where staging, choreography, and viral hooks will sharpen trader consensus amid the contest's unpredictable jury-televote split.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Israel 33%
Greece 19%
Finland 11%
Denmark 6.8%
$1,876,775 交易量
$1,876,775 交易量

Israel
33%

Greece
19%

Finland
11%

Denmark
7%

France
6%

Moldova
4%

Sweden
3%

Cyprus
3%

Bulgaria
3%

Ukraine
2%

Switzerland
2%

Italy
1%

Australia
1%

Poland
1%

Malta
1%

Belgium
1%

Romania
1%

Luxembourg
1%

Germany
1%

Estonia
1%

Croatia
1%

United Kingdom
<1%

Norway
<1%

Latvia
<1%

Lithuania
<1%

Serbia
<1%

Azerbaijan
<1%

Czechia
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Albania
<1%

Austria
<1%

Georgia
<1%

Montenegro
<1%

San Marino
<1%
Israel 33%
Greece 19%
Finland 11%
Denmark 6.8%
$1,876,775 交易量
$1,876,775 交易量

Israel
33%

Greece
19%

Finland
11%

Denmark
7%

France
6%

Moldova
4%

Sweden
3%

Cyprus
3%

Bulgaria
3%

Ukraine
2%

Switzerland
2%

Italy
1%

Australia
1%

Poland
1%

Malta
1%

Belgium
1%

Romania
1%

Luxembourg
1%

Germany
1%

Estonia
1%

Croatia
1%

United Kingdom
<1%

Norway
<1%

Latvia
<1%

Lithuania
<1%

Serbia
<1%

Azerbaijan
<1%

Czechia
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Albania
<1%

Austria
<1%

Georgia
<1%

Montenegro
<1%

San Marino
<1%
This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市場開放時間: Mar 19, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Israel's frontrunner status at 33% implied probability in the Eurovision 2026 televote winner market stems from its consistent televote dominance, exemplified by Eden Golan's runner-up finish in 2024 fueled by massive diaspora blocs across Europe and beyond, positioning it as the safest bet in a pre-selection field. Greece trails at 18.5% thanks to Mediterranean pop hooks and fan fervor seen in Marina Satti's strong 2024 showing, while Finland's 11% reflects Nordic party anthems from UMK standouts like Erika Vikman. Lower tiers like Denmark and France hinge on upcoming national finals, where staging, choreography, and viral hooks will sharpen trader consensus amid the contest's unpredictable jury-televote split.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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