Israel's frontrunner status at 33% implied probability stems from its powerhouse televote performances, including runner-up finishes in 2021 and 2024, fueled by massive diaspora and fan bloc voting that consistently punches above its size. Greece (18%) and Finland (15%) trail closely, riding momentum from recent hits—Greece's pop flair and Finland's 2023 televote crown with Käärijä—positioning them as strong contenders amid early national selection buzz. The wide-open field beyond the top three reflects 2026's nascent stage, with hosting bids open post-2025 and no entries confirmed, amplifying uncertainty as geopolitical sympathy votes and viral potential could upend trader consensus before spring finales.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Israel 33%
Greece 18%
Finland 15%
France 7.0%
$1,280,775 交易量
$1,280,775 交易量

Israel
33%

Greece
18%

Finland
15%

France
7%

Denmark
5%

Moldova
4%

Sweden
4%

Ukraine
2%

Italy
2%

Luxembourg
2%

Germany
1%

Switzerland
1%

Poland
1%

Malta
1%

Estonia
1%

Romania
1%

Croatia
1%

Belgium
1%

Bulgaria
1%

Cyprus
<1%

United Kingdom
<1%

Azerbaijan
<1%

Norway
<1%

Australia
<1%

Czechia
<1%

Georgia
<1%

Latvia
<1%

Lithuania
<1%

Serbia
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Albania
<1%

Austria
<1%

Montenegro
<1%

San Marino
<1%
Israel 33%
Greece 18%
Finland 15%
France 7.0%
$1,280,775 交易量
$1,280,775 交易量

Israel
33%

Greece
18%

Finland
15%

France
7%

Denmark
5%

Moldova
4%

Sweden
4%

Ukraine
2%

Italy
2%

Luxembourg
2%

Germany
1%

Switzerland
1%

Poland
1%

Malta
1%

Estonia
1%

Romania
1%

Croatia
1%

Belgium
1%

Bulgaria
1%

Cyprus
<1%

United Kingdom
<1%

Azerbaijan
<1%

Norway
<1%

Australia
<1%

Czechia
<1%

Georgia
<1%

Latvia
<1%

Lithuania
<1%

Serbia
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Albania
<1%

Austria
<1%

Montenegro
<1%

San Marino
<1%
This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市場開放時間: Mar 19, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Israel's frontrunner status at 33% implied probability stems from its powerhouse televote performances, including runner-up finishes in 2021 and 2024, fueled by massive diaspora and fan bloc voting that consistently punches above its size. Greece (18%) and Finland (15%) trail closely, riding momentum from recent hits—Greece's pop flair and Finland's 2023 televote crown with Käärijä—positioning them as strong contenders amid early national selection buzz. The wide-open field beyond the top three reflects 2026's nascent stage, with hosting bids open post-2025 and no entries confirmed, amplifying uncertainty as geopolitical sympathy votes and viral potential could upend trader consensus before spring finales.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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