Trader sentiment on whether WTI crude oil (CL) reaches the specified price target by June 30 hinges on tightening supply dynamics amid mixed demand signals. U.S. EIA data for the week ended June 14 showed a 1.2 million barrel draw in crude inventories—far exceeding expectations—pushing spot prices above $81/bbl, with backwardation in the futures curve signaling near-term tightness. OPEC+ extended voluntary production cuts through Q3 on June 2, curbing output growth, while Red Sea disruptions sustain a geopolitical risk premium. However, faltering Chinese demand and rising non-OPEC supply cap upside. Key catalysts include weekly EIA storage reports through month-end and potential U.S. summer driving demand surge, with traders pricing in a 50-50 shot amid volatility.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於原油( CL )是否會在6月底前達到__ ?
原油( CL )是否會在6月底前達到__ ?
$2,323,326 交易量
↑ $200
10%
↑ $175
13%
↑ $150
20%
↑ $140
25%
↑ $130
33%
↑ $120
51%
↑ $115
53%
↑ $110
67%
↑ $105
76%
↑ $100
74%
↓ $85
76%
↓ $80
73%
↓ $70
43%
↓ $60
18%
↓ $55
14%
↓ $52
14%
↓ $50
9%
↓ $47
5%
↓ $45
3%
↓ $40
3%
↓ $35
2%
$2,323,326 交易量
↑ $200
10%
↑ $175
13%
↑ $150
20%
↑ $140
25%
↑ $130
33%
↑ $120
51%
↑ $115
53%
↑ $110
67%
↑ $105
76%
↑ $100
74%
↓ $85
76%
↓ $80
73%
↓ $70
43%
↓ $60
18%
↓ $55
14%
↓ $52
14%
↓ $50
9%
↓ $47
5%
↓ $45
3%
↓ $40
3%
↓ $35
2%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
市場開放時間: Dec 26, 2025, 6:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on whether WTI crude oil (CL) reaches the specified price target by June 30 hinges on tightening supply dynamics amid mixed demand signals. U.S. EIA data for the week ended June 14 showed a 1.2 million barrel draw in crude inventories—far exceeding expectations—pushing spot prices above $81/bbl, with backwardation in the futures curve signaling near-term tightness. OPEC+ extended voluntary production cuts through Q3 on June 2, curbing output growth, while Red Sea disruptions sustain a geopolitical risk premium. However, faltering Chinese demand and rising non-OPEC supply cap upside. Key catalysts include weekly EIA storage reports through month-end and potential U.S. summer driving demand surge, with traders pricing in a 50-50 shot amid volatility.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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