Market icon

2023 Time Person of the Year

Market icon

2023 Time Person of the Year

$134,570 交易量

Jan 14, 2023
Polymarket

$134,570 交易量

Polymarket
Market icon

Elon Musk

$7,798 交易量

No

Market icon

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

$3,729 交易量

No

Market icon

AI

$40,732 交易量

No

Market icon

Joe Biden

$2,718 交易量

No

Market icon

Sam Altman

$43,419 交易量

No

Market icon

Benjamin Netanyahu

$1,305 交易量

No

Market icon

Taylor Swift

$32,635 交易量

Yes

Market icon

Xi Jinping

$2,234 交易量

No

If Elon Musk is named as TIME's Person of the Year for 2023, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, that this market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is named TIME's Person of the Year either alone or in conjunction with another person or thing, so long as Elon Musk is directly referenced. If, for example, the Person of the Year is "Elon Musk and X", this market will resolve to "Yes". If, however, the Person of the Year is the "The X Team", this market will resolve to "No". If Time's cover and other Time webpages have different winners for the Person of the Year, only one of them has to mention Elon Musk as the winner for this market to resolve to "Yes". This market can resolve after the 2023 TIME's Person of the Year is announced by TIME magazine. If for any reason the 2023 TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by January 15, 2024 (11:59 PM ET), this market will resolve to "No". If Volodymyr Zelenskyy is named as TIME's Person of the Year for 2023, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, that this market will resolve to "Yes" if Volodymyr Zelenskyy is named TIME's Person of the Year either alone or in conjunction with another person or thing, so long as Volodymyr Zelenskyy is directly referenced. If, for example, the Person of the Year is "Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the Spirit of Ukraine", this market will resolve to "Yes". If, however, the Person of the Year is the "The People of Ukraine", this market will resolve to "No". If Time's cover and other Time webpages have different winners for the Person of the Year, only one of them has to mention Volodymyr Zelenskyy as the winner for this market to resolve to "Yes". This market can resolve after the 2023 TIME's Person of the Year is announced by TIME magazine. If for any reason the 2023 TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by January 15, 2024 (11:59 PM ET), this market will resolve to "No". If "AI", "Artificial Intelligence", or another phrase directly referring to artificial intelligence (e.g. ChatGPT, GPT-4) is named as TIME's Person of the Year for 2023, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, that this market will resolve to "Yes" if AI is named TIME's Person of the Year either alone or in conjunction with another person or thing, so long as AI is directly referenced. If, for example, the Person of the Year is "AI and Sam Altman", this market will resolve to "Yes". If, however, the Person of the Year is the "OpenAI Team", this market will resolve to "No". If Time's cover and other Time webpages have different winners for the Person of the Year, only one of them has to mention AI or AI models/interfaces as the winner for this market to resolve to "Yes". This market can resolve after the 2023 TIME's Person of the Year is announced by TIME magazine. If for any reason the 2023 TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by January 15, 2024 (11:59 PM ET), this market will resolve to "No". If Joe Biden is named as TIME's Person of the Year for 2023, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, that this market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden is named TIME's Person of the Year either alone or in conjunction with another person or thing, so long as Joe Biden is directly referenced. If, for example, the Person of the Year is "Joe and Jill Biden", this market will resolve to "Yes". If, however, the Person of the Year is the "The United States Executive Branch", this market will resolve to "No". If Time's cover and other Time webpages have different winners for the Person of the Year, only one of them has to mention Joe Biden as the winner for this market to resolve to "Yes". This market can resolve after the 2023 TIME's Person of the Year is announced by TIME magazine. If for any reason the 2023 TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by January 15, 2024 (11:59 PM ET), this market will resolve to "No".If Sam Altman is named as TIME's Person of the Year for 2023, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, that this market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman is named TIME's Person of the Year either alone or in conjunction with another person or thing, so long as Sam Altman is directly referenced. If, for example, the Person of the Year is "AI and Sam Altman", this market will resolve to "Yes". If, however, the Person of the Year is the "OpenAI Team", this market will resolve to "No". If Time's cover and other Time webpages have different winners for the Person of the Year, only one of them has to mention Sam Altman as the winner for this market to resolve to "Yes". This market can resolve after the 2023 TIME's Person of the Year is announced by TIME magazine. If for any reason the 2023 TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by January 15, 2024 (11:59 PM ET), this market will resolve to "No". If Benjamin Netanyahu is named as TIME's Person of the Year for 2023, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, that this market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu is named TIME's Person of the Year either alone or in conjunction with another person or thing, so long as Benjamin Netanyahu is directly referenced. If, for example, the Person of the Year is "Israel and Benjamin Netanyahu", this market will resolve to "Yes". If, however, the Person of the Year is the "Israeli People", this market will resolve to "No". If Time's cover and other Time webpages have different winners for the Person of the Year, only one of them has to mention Benjamin Netanyahu as the winner for this market to resolve to "Yes". This market can resolve after the 2023 TIME's Person of the Year is announced by TIME magazine. If for any reason the 2023 TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by January 15, 2024 (11:59 PM ET), this market will resolve to "No". If Taylor Swift is named as TIME's Person of the Year for 2023, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, that this market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift is named TIME's Person of the Year either alone or in conjunction with another person or thing, so long as Taylor Swift is directly referenced. If, for example, the Person of the Year is "Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce", this market will resolve to "Yes". If, however, the Person of the Year is "Pop Stars", this market will resolve to "No". If Time's cover and other Time webpages have different winners for the Person of the Year, only one of them has to mention Taylor Swift as the winner for this market to resolve to "Yes". This market can resolve after the 2023 TIME's Person of the Year is announced by TIME magazine. If for any reason the 2023 TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by January 15, 2024 (11:59 PM ET), this market will resolve to "No".If Xi Jinping is named as TIME's Person of the Year for 2023, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, that this market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping is named TIME's Person of the Year either alone or in conjunction with another person or thing, so long as Xi Jinping is directly referenced. If, for example, the Person of the Year is "China and Xi Jinping", this market will resolve to "Yes". If, however, the Person of the Year is the "Chinese People", this market will resolve to "No". If Time's cover and other Time webpages have different winners for the Person of the Year, only one of them has to mention Xi Jinping as the winner for this market to resolve to "Yes". This market can resolve after the 2023 TIME's Person of the Year is announced by TIME magazine. If for any reason the 2023 TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by January 15, 2024 (11:59 PM ET), this market will resolve to "No".

If Elon Musk is named as TIME's Person of the Year for 2023, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, that this market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is named TIME's Person of the Year either alone or in conjunction with another person or thing, so long as Elon Musk is directly referenced. If, for example, the Person of the Year is "Elon Musk and X", this market will resolve to "Yes". If, however, the Person of the Year is the "The X Team", this market will resolve to "No".

If Time's cover and other Time webpages have different winners for the Person of the Year, only one of them has to mention Elon Musk as the winner for this market to resolve to "Yes".

This market can resolve after the 2023 TIME's Person of the Year is announced by TIME magazine. If for any reason the 2023 TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by January 15, 2024 (11:59 PM ET), this market will resolve to "No".
交易量
$134,570
結束日期
Jan 15, 2024
市場開放時間
Oct 19, 2023, 6:49 PM ET
If Elon Musk is named as TIME's Person of the Year for 2023, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, that this market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is named TIME's Person of the Year either alone or in conjunction with another person or thing, so long as Elon Musk is directly referenced. If, for example, the Person of the Year is "Elon Musk and X", this market will resolve to "Yes". If, however, the Person of the Year is the "The X Team", this market will resolve to "No". If Time's cover and other Time webpages have different winners for the Person of the Year, only one of them has to mention Elon Musk as the winner for this market to resolve to "Yes". This market can resolve after the 2023 TIME's Person of the Year is announced by TIME magazine. If for any reason the 2023 TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by January 15, 2024 (11:59 PM ET), this market will resolve to "No".

已提議結果: No

無爭議

最終結果: No

If Elon Musk is named as TIME's Person of the Year for 2023, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, that this market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is named TIME's Person of the Year either alone or in conjunction with another person or thing, so long as Elon Musk is directly referenced. If, for example, the Person of the Year is "Elon Musk and X", this market will resolve to "Yes". If, however, the Person of the Year is the "The X Team", this market will resolve to "No". If Time's cover and other Time webpages have different winners for the Person of the Year, only one of them has to mention Elon Musk as the winner for this market to resolve to "Yes". This market can resolve after the 2023 TIME's Person of the Year is announced by TIME magazine. If for any reason the 2023 TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by January 15, 2024 (11:59 PM ET), this market will resolve to "No". If Volodymyr Zelenskyy is named as TIME's Person of the Year for 2023, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, that this market will resolve to "Yes" if Volodymyr Zelenskyy is named TIME's Person of the Year either alone or in conjunction with another person or thing, so long as Volodymyr Zelenskyy is directly referenced. If, for example, the Person of the Year is "Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the Spirit of Ukraine", this market will resolve to "Yes". If, however, the Person of the Year is the "The People of Ukraine", this market will resolve to "No". If Time's cover and other Time webpages have different winners for the Person of the Year, only one of them has to mention Volodymyr Zelenskyy as the winner for this market to resolve to "Yes". This market can resolve after the 2023 TIME's Person of the Year is announced by TIME magazine. If for any reason the 2023 TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by January 15, 2024 (11:59 PM ET), this market will resolve to "No". If "AI", "Artificial Intelligence", or another phrase directly referring to artificial intelligence (e.g. ChatGPT, GPT-4) is named as TIME's Person of the Year for 2023, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, that this market will resolve to "Yes" if AI is named TIME's Person of the Year either alone or in conjunction with another person or thing, so long as AI is directly referenced. If, for example, the Person of the Year is "AI and Sam Altman", this market will resolve to "Yes". If, however, the Person of the Year is the "OpenAI Team", this market will resolve to "No". If Time's cover and other Time webpages have different winners for the Person of the Year, only one of them has to mention AI or AI models/interfaces as the winner for this market to resolve to "Yes". This market can resolve after the 2023 TIME's Person of the Year is announced by TIME magazine. If for any reason the 2023 TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by January 15, 2024 (11:59 PM ET), this market will resolve to "No". If Joe Biden is named as TIME's Person of the Year for 2023, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, that this market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden is named TIME's Person of the Year either alone or in conjunction with another person or thing, so long as Joe Biden is directly referenced. If, for example, the Person of the Year is "Joe and Jill Biden", this market will resolve to "Yes". If, however, the Person of the Year is the "The United States Executive Branch", this market will resolve to "No". If Time's cover and other Time webpages have different winners for the Person of the Year, only one of them has to mention Joe Biden as the winner for this market to resolve to "Yes". This market can resolve after the 2023 TIME's Person of the Year is announced by TIME magazine. If for any reason the 2023 TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by January 15, 2024 (11:59 PM ET), this market will resolve to "No".If Sam Altman is named as TIME's Person of the Year for 2023, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, that this market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman is named TIME's Person of the Year either alone or in conjunction with another person or thing, so long as Sam Altman is directly referenced. If, for example, the Person of the Year is "AI and Sam Altman", this market will resolve to "Yes". If, however, the Person of the Year is the "OpenAI Team", this market will resolve to "No". If Time's cover and other Time webpages have different winners for the Person of the Year, only one of them has to mention Sam Altman as the winner for this market to resolve to "Yes". This market can resolve after the 2023 TIME's Person of the Year is announced by TIME magazine. If for any reason the 2023 TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by January 15, 2024 (11:59 PM ET), this market will resolve to "No". If Benjamin Netanyahu is named as TIME's Person of the Year for 2023, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, that this market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu is named TIME's Person of the Year either alone or in conjunction with another person or thing, so long as Benjamin Netanyahu is directly referenced. If, for example, the Person of the Year is "Israel and Benjamin Netanyahu", this market will resolve to "Yes". If, however, the Person of the Year is the "Israeli People", this market will resolve to "No". If Time's cover and other Time webpages have different winners for the Person of the Year, only one of them has to mention Benjamin Netanyahu as the winner for this market to resolve to "Yes". This market can resolve after the 2023 TIME's Person of the Year is announced by TIME magazine. If for any reason the 2023 TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by January 15, 2024 (11:59 PM ET), this market will resolve to "No". If Taylor Swift is named as TIME's Person of the Year for 2023, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, that this market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift is named TIME's Person of the Year either alone or in conjunction with another person or thing, so long as Taylor Swift is directly referenced. If, for example, the Person of the Year is "Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce", this market will resolve to "Yes". If, however, the Person of the Year is "Pop Stars", this market will resolve to "No". If Time's cover and other Time webpages have different winners for the Person of the Year, only one of them has to mention Taylor Swift as the winner for this market to resolve to "Yes". This market can resolve after the 2023 TIME's Person of the Year is announced by TIME magazine. If for any reason the 2023 TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by January 15, 2024 (11:59 PM ET), this market will resolve to "No".If Xi Jinping is named as TIME's Person of the Year for 2023, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, that this market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping is named TIME's Person of the Year either alone or in conjunction with another person or thing, so long as Xi Jinping is directly referenced. If, for example, the Person of the Year is "China and Xi Jinping", this market will resolve to "Yes". If, however, the Person of the Year is the "Chinese People", this market will resolve to "No". If Time's cover and other Time webpages have different winners for the Person of the Year, only one of them has to mention Xi Jinping as the winner for this market to resolve to "Yes". This market can resolve after the 2023 TIME's Person of the Year is announced by TIME magazine. If for any reason the 2023 TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by January 15, 2024 (11:59 PM ET), this market will resolve to "No".

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2023 Time Person of the Year" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Taylor Swift" at 100%, followed by "Elon Musk" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2023 Time Person of the Year" has generated $134.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 19, 2023. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2023 Time Person of the Year," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2023 Time Person of the Year" is "Taylor Swift" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Elon Musk" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2023 Time Person of the Year" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.