Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "Nothing" at 60% for this binary market, reflecting that none of the six triggering events—Iranian regime falls, Fed rate cut, Trump election interference national emergency declaration, Insurrection Act invocation, SAVE Act signed into law, or James Talarico and John Cornyn both becoming Texas Senate election candidates—occurred by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The March 18 FOMC meeting held the federal funds rate steady at 3.5%-3.75% with no cut, while the Trump-backed SAVE Act passed the House but stalled in the Senate amid partisan opposition. Ongoing Iranian unrest has not toppled the regime, and no executive actions like emergency declarations or Insurrection Act use materialized. Texas March 3 primaries saw Talarico win the Democratic nomination outright and Cornyn advance in the Republican contest to a pending runoff, leaving ambiguity on the candidates trigger as the market awaits definitive primary results.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNothing
$332,045 KL.
$332,045 KL.
Mar 31, 2026
Nothing
$332,045 KL.
$332,045 KL.
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdfTrader consensus on Polymarket prices "Nothing" at 60% for this binary market, reflecting that none of the six triggering events—Iranian regime falls, Fed rate cut, Trump election interference national emergency declaration, Insurrection Act invocation, SAVE Act signed into law, or James Talarico and John Cornyn both becoming Texas Senate election candidates—occurred by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The March 18 FOMC meeting held the federal funds rate steady at 3.5%-3.75% with no cut, while the Trump-backed SAVE Act passed the House but stalled in the Senate amid partisan opposition. Ongoing Iranian unrest has not toppled the regime, and no executive actions like emergency declarations or Insurrection Act use materialized. Texas March 3 primaries saw Talarico win the Democratic nomination outright and Cornyn advance in the Republican contest to a pending runoff, leaving ambiguity on the candidates trigger as the market awaits definitive primary results.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
Thị trường mở: Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ET
Khối lượng
$332,045Ngày kết thúc
Mar 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdfTrader consensus on Polymarket prices "Nothing" at 60% for this binary market, reflecting that none of the six triggering events—Iranian regime falls, Fed rate cut, Trump election interference national emergency declaration, Insurrection Act invocation, SAVE Act signed into law, or James Talarico and John Cornyn both becoming Texas Senate election candidates—occurred by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The March 18 FOMC meeting held the federal funds rate steady at 3.5%-3.75% with no cut, while the Trump-backed SAVE Act passed the House but stalled in the Senate amid partisan opposition. Ongoing Iranian unrest has not toppled the regime, and no executive actions like emergency declarations or Insurrection Act use materialized. Texas March 3 primaries saw Talarico win the Democratic nomination outright and Cornyn advance in the Republican contest to a pending runoff, leaving ambiguity on the candidates trigger as the market awaits definitive primary results.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
Khối lượng
$332,045Ngày kết thúc
Mar 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "Nothing" at 60% for this binary market, reflecting that none of the six triggering events—Iranian regime falls, Fed rate cut, Trump election interference national emergency declaration, Insurrection Act invocation, SAVE Act signed into law, or James Talarico and John Cornyn both becoming Texas Senate election candidates—occurred by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The March 18 FOMC meeting held the federal funds rate steady at 3.5%-3.75% with no cut, while the Trump-backed SAVE Act passed the House but stalled in the Senate amid partisan opposition. Ongoing Iranian unrest has not toppled the regime, and no executive actions like emergency declarations or Insurrection Act use materialized. Texas March 3 primaries saw Talarico win the Democratic nomination outright and Cornyn advance in the Republican contest to a pending runoff, leaving ambiguity on the candidates trigger as the market awaits definitive primary results.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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