Trader consensus on Polymarket's "Nothing Ever Happens: March" market prices "Nothing" at 60.5%, driven by the absence of five specified triggers through March 31, 2026: the Federal Reserve held interest rates steady at its March 18-19 FOMC meeting, the SAVE Act failed Senate cloture, Iran's regime endured U.S. airstrikes without falling, and President Trump issued no election interference national emergency declaration or Insurrection Act invocation. The sole uncertainty is Texas U.S. Senate primaries, where both James Talarico (Democrat) and incumbent John Cornyn (Republican) must advance as nominees—a low-probability outcome per a May 5 University of Texas poll showing Attorney General Ken Paxton leading Cornyn 48%-45% ahead of the GOP runoff on May 26. Resolution awaits definitive primary results.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNothing
$339,618 KL.
$339,618 KL.
Mar 31, 2026
Nothing
$339,618 KL.
$339,618 KL.
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdfTrader consensus on Polymarket's "Nothing Ever Happens: March" market prices "Nothing" at 60.5%, driven by the absence of five specified triggers through March 31, 2026: the Federal Reserve held interest rates steady at its March 18-19 FOMC meeting, the SAVE Act failed Senate cloture, Iran's regime endured U.S. airstrikes without falling, and President Trump issued no election interference national emergency declaration or Insurrection Act invocation. The sole uncertainty is Texas U.S. Senate primaries, where both James Talarico (Democrat) and incumbent John Cornyn (Republican) must advance as nominees—a low-probability outcome per a May 5 University of Texas poll showing Attorney General Ken Paxton leading Cornyn 48%-45% ahead of the GOP runoff on May 26. Resolution awaits definitive primary results.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
Thị trường mở: Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ET
Khối lượng
$339,618Ngày kết thúc
Mar 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdfTrader consensus on Polymarket's "Nothing Ever Happens: March" market prices "Nothing" at 60.5%, driven by the absence of five specified triggers through March 31, 2026: the Federal Reserve held interest rates steady at its March 18-19 FOMC meeting, the SAVE Act failed Senate cloture, Iran's regime endured U.S. airstrikes without falling, and President Trump issued no election interference national emergency declaration or Insurrection Act invocation. The sole uncertainty is Texas U.S. Senate primaries, where both James Talarico (Democrat) and incumbent John Cornyn (Republican) must advance as nominees—a low-probability outcome per a May 5 University of Texas poll showing Attorney General Ken Paxton leading Cornyn 48%-45% ahead of the GOP runoff on May 26. Resolution awaits definitive primary results.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
Khối lượng
$339,618Ngày kết thúc
Mar 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket's "Nothing Ever Happens: March" market prices "Nothing" at 60.5%, driven by the absence of five specified triggers through March 31, 2026: the Federal Reserve held interest rates steady at its March 18-19 FOMC meeting, the SAVE Act failed Senate cloture, Iran's regime endured U.S. airstrikes without falling, and President Trump issued no election interference national emergency declaration or Insurrection Act invocation. The sole uncertainty is Texas U.S. Senate primaries, where both James Talarico (Democrat) and incumbent John Cornyn (Republican) must advance as nominees—a low-probability outcome per a May 5 University of Texas poll showing Attorney General Ken Paxton leading Cornyn 48%-45% ahead of the GOP runoff on May 26. Resolution awaits definitive primary results.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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