Incumbent Rep. Melanie Stansbury's strong reelection bid in safely Democratic New Mexico's 1st Congressional District, rated D+7 by Cook Political Report, underpins trader consensus pricing Democrats at over 90% to retain the seat after her 13-point 2024 victory. The district's partisan lean, encompassing Albuquerque and surrounding areas, combined with Stansbury's uncontested Democratic primary on June 2 and superior fundraising, solidifies this commanding position amid no notable developments in the past 30 days. While Republicans hold slim odds, a shift could arise from a surprise GOP primary standout, personal scandal, health issues for Stansbury, or a national midterm wave favoring challengers before the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNM-01 House Election Winner
NM-01 House Election Winner
$20,110 KL.
$20,110 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
91%
Republican Party
7%
$20,110 KL.
$20,110 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$9,731 KL.
91%
Republican Party
$10,379 KL.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Melanie Stansbury's strong reelection bid in safely Democratic New Mexico's 1st Congressional District, rated D+7 by Cook Political Report, underpins trader consensus pricing Democrats at over 90% to retain the seat after her 13-point 2024 victory. The district's partisan lean, encompassing Albuquerque and surrounding areas, combined with Stansbury's uncontested Democratic primary on June 2 and superior fundraising, solidifies this commanding position amid no notable developments in the past 30 days. While Republicans hold slim odds, a shift could arise from a surprise GOP primary standout, personal scandal, health issues for Stansbury, or a national midterm wave favoring challengers before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Khối lượng
$20,110Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Melanie Stansbury's strong reelection bid in safely Democratic New Mexico's 1st Congressional District, rated D+7 by Cook Political Report, underpins trader consensus pricing Democrats at over 90% to retain the seat after her 13-point 2024 victory. The district's partisan lean, encompassing Albuquerque and surrounding areas, combined with Stansbury's uncontested Democratic primary on June 2 and superior fundraising, solidifies this commanding position amid no notable developments in the past 30 days. While Republicans hold slim odds, a shift could arise from a surprise GOP primary standout, personal scandal, health issues for Stansbury, or a national midterm wave favoring challengers before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$20,110Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Melanie Stansbury's strong reelection bid in safely Democratic New Mexico's 1st Congressional District, rated D+7 by Cook Political Report, underpins trader consensus pricing Democrats at over 90% to retain the seat after her 13-point 2024 victory. The district's partisan lean, encompassing Albuquerque and surrounding areas, combined with Stansbury's uncontested Democratic primary on June 2 and superior fundraising, solidifies this commanding position amid no notable developments in the past 30 days. While Republicans hold slim odds, a shift could arise from a surprise GOP primary standout, personal scandal, health issues for Stansbury, or a national midterm wave favoring challengers before the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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