Incumbent Republican Lloyd Smucker seeks reelection in Pennsylvania’s 11th congressional district against Democrat Nancy Mannion in the November 3, 2026, general election. Both candidates secured uncontested party nominations in the May primaries. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan composition and voting patterns in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 91% for the Republican Party tracks this structural advantage, Smucker’s incumbency, and the absence of major polling shifts, fundraising surges, or late developments that have altered positioning. A national Democratic wave, unexpected scandal, or health event could still narrow the margin, though no such catalysts have emerged in recent weeks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtPA-11 House Election Winner
PA-11 House Election Winner
$21,492 KL.
$21,492 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
3%
$21,492 KL.
$21,492 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$11,717 KL.
91%
Democratic Party
$9,775 KL.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Lloyd Smucker seeks reelection in Pennsylvania’s 11th congressional district against Democrat Nancy Mannion in the November 3, 2026, general election. Both candidates secured uncontested party nominations in the May primaries. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan composition and voting patterns in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 91% for the Republican Party tracks this structural advantage, Smucker’s incumbency, and the absence of major polling shifts, fundraising surges, or late developments that have altered positioning. A national Democratic wave, unexpected scandal, or health event could still narrow the margin, though no such catalysts have emerged in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Khối lượng
$21,492Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Lloyd Smucker seeks reelection in Pennsylvania’s 11th congressional district against Democrat Nancy Mannion in the November 3, 2026, general election. Both candidates secured uncontested party nominations in the May primaries. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan composition and voting patterns in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 91% for the Republican Party tracks this structural advantage, Smucker’s incumbency, and the absence of major polling shifts, fundraising surges, or late developments that have altered positioning. A national Democratic wave, unexpected scandal, or health event could still narrow the margin, though no such catalysts have emerged in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$21,492Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Lloyd Smucker seeks reelection in Pennsylvania’s 11th congressional district against Democrat Nancy Mannion in the November 3, 2026, general election. Both candidates secured uncontested party nominations in the May primaries. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan composition and voting patterns in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 91% for the Republican Party tracks this structural advantage, Smucker’s incumbency, and the absence of major polling shifts, fundraising surges, or late developments that have altered positioning. A national Democratic wave, unexpected scandal, or health event could still narrow the margin, though no such catalysts have emerged in recent weeks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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