California's 50th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean reinforced by recent redistricting under Proposition 50, giving the party a clear path to retain the seat in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Scott Peters, a moderate Democrat first elected in 2012, faces a crowded June 2 primary that includes several other Democratic challengers but no prominent Republican contender capable of advancing under the state's top-two system. This setup, combined with the district's voter registration and historical voting patterns favoring Democrats, underpins the current trader consensus reflected in market pricing. A significant upset would require an unusually strong Republican performance in the primary or a late shift in turnout dynamics within the San Diego area.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCA-50 House Election Winner
CA-50 House Election Winner
$34,736 KL.
$34,736 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
7%
$34,736 KL.
$34,736 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$19,413 KL.
95%
Republican Party
$15,322 KL.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 50th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean reinforced by recent redistricting under Proposition 50, giving the party a clear path to retain the seat in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Scott Peters, a moderate Democrat first elected in 2012, faces a crowded June 2 primary that includes several other Democratic challengers but no prominent Republican contender capable of advancing under the state's top-two system. This setup, combined with the district's voter registration and historical voting patterns favoring Democrats, underpins the current trader consensus reflected in market pricing. A significant upset would require an unusually strong Republican performance in the primary or a late shift in turnout dynamics within the San Diego area.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$34,736Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 50th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean reinforced by recent redistricting under Proposition 50, giving the party a clear path to retain the seat in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Scott Peters, a moderate Democrat first elected in 2012, faces a crowded June 2 primary that includes several other Democratic challengers but no prominent Republican contender capable of advancing under the state's top-two system. This setup, combined with the district's voter registration and historical voting patterns favoring Democrats, underpins the current trader consensus reflected in market pricing. A significant upset would require an unusually strong Republican performance in the primary or a late shift in turnout dynamics within the San Diego area.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$34,736Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 50th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean reinforced by recent redistricting under Proposition 50, giving the party a clear path to retain the seat in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Scott Peters, a moderate Democrat first elected in 2012, faces a crowded June 2 primary that includes several other Democratic challengers but no prominent Republican contender capable of advancing under the state's top-two system. This setup, combined with the district's voter registration and historical voting patterns favoring Democrats, underpins the current trader consensus reflected in market pricing. A significant upset would require an unusually strong Republican performance in the primary or a late shift in turnout dynamics within the San Diego area.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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