President Trump remains in office amid ongoing Republican congressional majorities and a supportive cabinet under Vice President JD Vance, making successful removal via impeachment or the 25th Amendment highly improbable before 2027. Democratic lawmakers introduced multiple impeachment resolutions and urged 25th Amendment invocation following April 2026 statements on Iran, yet these measures stalled without bipartisan backing or cabinet support required for formal action. Trump continues issuing executive orders on regulatory, immigration, and national security matters into mid-2026, with no verified reports of incapacity, resignation plans, or shifting party dynamics that would alter succession procedures. Traders price the low probability of removal accordingly, reflecting structural barriers including Senate conviction thresholds and historical precedent for sustained presidential tenure absent extraordinary bipartisan consensus.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCó
$9,087,101 KL.
$9,087,101 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
Có
$9,087,101 KL.
$9,087,101 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump remains in office amid ongoing Republican congressional majorities and a supportive cabinet under Vice President JD Vance, making successful removal via impeachment or the 25th Amendment highly improbable before 2027. Democratic lawmakers introduced multiple impeachment resolutions and urged 25th Amendment invocation following April 2026 statements on Iran, yet these measures stalled without bipartisan backing or cabinet support required for formal action. Trump continues issuing executive orders on regulatory, immigration, and national security matters into mid-2026, with no verified reports of incapacity, resignation plans, or shifting party dynamics that would alter succession procedures. Traders price the low probability of removal accordingly, reflecting structural barriers including Senate conviction thresholds and historical precedent for sustained presidential tenure absent extraordinary bipartisan consensus.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
Khối lượng
$9,087,101Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump remains in office amid ongoing Republican congressional majorities and a supportive cabinet under Vice President JD Vance, making successful removal via impeachment or the 25th Amendment highly improbable before 2027. Democratic lawmakers introduced multiple impeachment resolutions and urged 25th Amendment invocation following April 2026 statements on Iran, yet these measures stalled without bipartisan backing or cabinet support required for formal action. Trump continues issuing executive orders on regulatory, immigration, and national security matters into mid-2026, with no verified reports of incapacity, resignation plans, or shifting party dynamics that would alter succession procedures. Traders price the low probability of removal accordingly, reflecting structural barriers including Senate conviction thresholds and historical precedent for sustained presidential tenure absent extraordinary bipartisan consensus.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$9,087,211Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump remains in office amid ongoing Republican congressional majorities and a supportive cabinet under Vice President JD Vance, making successful removal via impeachment or the 25th Amendment highly improbable before 2027. Democratic lawmakers introduced multiple impeachment resolutions and urged 25th Amendment invocation following April 2026 statements on Iran, yet these measures stalled without bipartisan backing or cabinet support required for formal action. Trump continues issuing executive orders on regulatory, immigration, and national security matters into mid-2026, with no verified reports of incapacity, resignation plans, or shifting party dynamics that would alter succession procedures. Traders price the low probability of removal accordingly, reflecting structural barriers including Senate conviction thresholds and historical precedent for sustained presidential tenure absent extraordinary bipartisan consensus.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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