Mary Peltola holds a commanding lead in the Alaska Senate race through sustained advantages in first-choice vote tallies and projected ranked-choice voting outcomes. Recent ballot counts through November 13 show her margin expanding to roughly 5,800 votes, or about 2.3 points, as additional mail and absentee ballots from Anchorage and rural areas continue to favor the Democrat. The incumbent Republican trails at 47 percent, with minor candidates including Gerald Heikes and Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. splitting the remainder. Late-arriving ballots postmarked by Election Day and scheduled ranked-choice tabulation on November 18 reinforce trader consensus around Peltola. Potential shifts could still arise from final overseas ballot arrivals through November 18, certification on November 25, or legal challenges tied to the same-name candidate.