Mary Peltola holds a trader consensus edge in Alaska’s 2026 Senate race because recent polls show her ahead of incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan and because she outraised him substantially in the first quarter. Alaska Survey Research surveys from March and April placed the former U.S. representative 5–7 points ahead, reflecting her strong name recognition from prior statewide wins under ranked-choice voting. Peltola’s campaign has emphasized affordability measures such as income-tax relief for median earners, while the August nonpartisan primary and November general election timeline keep both candidates focused on turnout among independent and crossover voters. Minor candidates remain negligible in current positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtAlaska Senate Election Winner
Alaska Senate Election Winner
Mary Peltola 60%
Dan Sullivan 40%
Ann Diener <1%
Richard Grayson <1%
$328,413 KL.
$328,413 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Mary Peltola
60%
Dan Sullivan
40%
Ann Diener
<1%
Richard Grayson
<1%
Dustin Darden
<1%
Mary Peltola 60%
Dan Sullivan 40%
Ann Diener <1%
Richard Grayson <1%
$328,413 KL.
$328,413 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Mary Peltola
$159,643 KL.
60%
Dan Sullivan
$91,084 KL.
40%
Ann Diener
$34,206 KL.
<1%
Richard Grayson
$21,549 KL.
<1%
Dustin Darden
$21,931 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Mary Peltola holds a trader consensus edge in Alaska’s 2026 Senate race because recent polls show her ahead of incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan and because she outraised him substantially in the first quarter. Alaska Survey Research surveys from March and April placed the former U.S. representative 5–7 points ahead, reflecting her strong name recognition from prior statewide wins under ranked-choice voting. Peltola’s campaign has emphasized affordability measures such as income-tax relief for median earners, while the August nonpartisan primary and November general election timeline keep both candidates focused on turnout among independent and crossover voters. Minor candidates remain negligible in current positioning.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
Khối lượng
$328,413Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Mary Peltola holds a trader consensus edge in Alaska’s 2026 Senate race because recent polls show her ahead of incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan and because she outraised him substantially in the first quarter. Alaska Survey Research surveys from March and April placed the former U.S. representative 5–7 points ahead, reflecting her strong name recognition from prior statewide wins under ranked-choice voting. Peltola’s campaign has emphasized affordability measures such as income-tax relief for median earners, while the August nonpartisan primary and November general election timeline keep both candidates focused on turnout among independent and crossover voters. Minor candidates remain negligible in current positioning.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Khối lượng
$328,413Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mary Peltola holds a trader consensus edge in Alaska’s 2026 Senate race because recent polls show her ahead of incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan and because she outraised him substantially in the first quarter. Alaska Survey Research surveys from March and April placed the former U.S. representative 5–7 points ahead, reflecting her strong name recognition from prior statewide wins under ranked-choice voting. Peltola’s campaign has emphasized affordability measures such as income-tax relief for median earners, while the August nonpartisan primary and November general election timeline keep both candidates focused on turnout among independent and crossover voters. Minor candidates remain negligible in current positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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