Incumbent Democrat Gabe Vasquez holds a commanding 77.5% trader consensus for victory in New Mexico's competitive 2nd Congressional District House race, reflecting his fundraising edge, name recognition, and record in this battleground spanning southern New Mexico and parts of Albuquerque. Recent GOP primary consolidation followed Jose Orozco's April 8 dropout and endorsement of veteran Greg Cunningham, bolstered by President Trump's April 15 nod and NRCC's April 27 addition to its MAGA Majority program, yet these developments have not shifted odds amid skepticism over Cunningham's ability to overcome Vasquez in the Toss Up/Lean D-rated seat per Cook Political Report. June 2 primaries will confirm nominees ahead of the November general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNM-02 House Election Winner
NM-02 House Election Winner
$16,936 KL.
$16,936 KL.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
76%
Republican Party
19%
$16,936 KL.
$16,936 KL.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$1,378 KL.
76%
Republican Party
$15,558 KL.
19%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Gabe Vasquez holds a commanding 77.5% trader consensus for victory in New Mexico's competitive 2nd Congressional District House race, reflecting his fundraising edge, name recognition, and record in this battleground spanning southern New Mexico and parts of Albuquerque. Recent GOP primary consolidation followed Jose Orozco's April 8 dropout and endorsement of veteran Greg Cunningham, bolstered by President Trump's April 15 nod and NRCC's April 27 addition to its MAGA Majority program, yet these developments have not shifted odds amid skepticism over Cunningham's ability to overcome Vasquez in the Toss Up/Lean D-rated seat per Cook Political Report. June 2 primaries will confirm nominees ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
Khối lượng
$16,936Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Gabe Vasquez holds a commanding 77.5% trader consensus for victory in New Mexico's competitive 2nd Congressional District House race, reflecting his fundraising edge, name recognition, and record in this battleground spanning southern New Mexico and parts of Albuquerque. Recent GOP primary consolidation followed Jose Orozco's April 8 dropout and endorsement of veteran Greg Cunningham, bolstered by President Trump's April 15 nod and NRCC's April 27 addition to its MAGA Majority program, yet these developments have not shifted odds amid skepticism over Cunningham's ability to overcome Vasquez in the Toss Up/Lean D-rated seat per Cook Political Report. June 2 primaries will confirm nominees ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$16,936Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Gabe Vasquez holds a commanding 77.5% trader consensus for victory in New Mexico's competitive 2nd Congressional District House race, reflecting his fundraising edge, name recognition, and record in this battleground spanning southern New Mexico and parts of Albuquerque. Recent GOP primary consolidation followed Jose Orozco's April 8 dropout and endorsement of veteran Greg Cunningham, bolstered by President Trump's April 15 nod and NRCC's April 27 addition to its MAGA Majority program, yet these developments have not shifted odds amid skepticism over Cunningham's ability to overcome Vasquez in the Toss Up/Lean D-rated seat per Cook Political Report. June 2 primaries will confirm nominees ahead of the November general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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