Incumbent Republican María Elvira Salazar holds the edge in Florida’s 27th congressional district due to her substantial fundraising lead, name recognition as a three-term member, and endorsements from law enforcement, business groups, and Venezuelan opposition figures. The race has tightened since mid-2026 as polls show a competitive contest, with some surveys placing the candidates near even or within a few points. Analysts attribute the shift to Hispanic voter pushback against Trump administration immigration enforcement in a district with a large Latino population and an R+6 partisan lean. Democrat Eliott Rodriguez, a longtime former Miami TV anchor making his first run, benefits from local familiarity and Democratic support targeting the seat. The November 3 general election remains weeks away, with early voting set to begin later this month.